Match Analysis: Calgary Flames vs Winnipeg Jets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary, AB
Game Overview
The Winnipeg Jets (10-7) face the Calgary Flames (5-12-2) at the Flames' home rink. The Jets are slight favorites, having recently performed better overall, but Calgary has strong home tendencies and motivation to upset.
Key Factors to Consider
- Winnipeg Jets hold a significantly better record (10-7 vs 5-12-2) and superior recent form despite both teams struggling lately. Jets have stronger offense and defense overall; Flames possess the worst offense in the NHL this season.
- Jets have won 5 of the last 6 meetings and have taken the last two visits to Calgary. Recent clashes have mostly seen competitive, moderately high-scoring games with Jets slight edge.
- Calgary Flames are missing defenseman Zayne Parekh due to an upper-body injury. No notable injuries reported for Winnipeg Jets affecting lineup strength.
- Game played at Calgary's Scotiabank Saddledome favors home team slightly. Both teams face pressure with Jets aiming to sweep season series and Flames fighting to improve poor season.
- Jets motivated to solidify superior season form and complete sweep. Flames seek to capitalize on home ice advantage and recent periods success at home to rebound from poor streak.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Calgary Flames: +123, Winnipeg Jets: -152 | Winnipeg Jets | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Calgary Flames +1.5: -205, Winnipeg Jets -1.5: +163 | Winnipeg Jets -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5: -115, Under 5.5: -108 | Under 5.5 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Winnipeg Jets 13% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 19% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Winnipeg Jets moneyline win, with under 5.5 goals total
Predicted Score: 3-1 Jets