Match Analysis: Calgary Flames vs Winnipeg Jets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary, Alberta
Game Overview
The NHL matchup features the Winnipeg Jets (10-7) visiting the Calgary Flames (5-12-2) at the Scotiabank Saddledome. The Jets are currently in stronger form and hold a better record, while the Flames have struggled this season. Winnipeg enters this game as the favorite despite being on the road, with higher offensive output and recent mixed results. Calgary, playing at home, is an underdog but has shown defensive potential in recent games.
Key Factors to Consider
- Winnipeg Jets average 3.2 goals per game with a strong offensive record and are 10-7 this season. They have a .935 save percentage in goal recently. Calgary Flames average 2.1 goals per game and hold a 5-12-2 record, reflecting offensive struggles but some solid defensive efforts, including a recent 2-0 win at home. Jets have inconsistent recent form with mixed wins and losses on the road, while Flames have some home wins but overall underperform.
- In previous encounters this season, Winnipeg has had some strong showings, including a 5-3 win against Calgary at home. Calgaryβs best recent result was a 2-0 home win, indicating tight defensive contests. Historical matchup data lean slightly in favor of the Jetsβ offensive capabilities.
- No major injury updates reported affecting key players like Mark Scheifele for Winnipeg or Bryan Coleman for Calgary. Goaltender Connor Hellebuyck for Winnipeg is expected to start and is in good form.
- The game is hosted in Calgary's Scotiabank Saddledome, providing home-ice advantage to the Flames. Travel and back-to-back schedules do not appear to heavily burden either team currently.
- Jets sitting higher in the standings and pushing for divisional positioning, thus motivation to secure a road win is strong. Flames aim to improve their poor start and capitalize on home ice to gain momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Calgary Flames: +123, Winnipeg Jets: -152 | Winnipeg Jets | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Calgary Flames +1.5: -205, Winnipeg Jets -1.5: +163 | Winnipeg Jets -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5: -115, Under 5.5: -108 | Over 5.5 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Winnipeg Jets -9% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 5.5 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 5.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Winnipeg Jets are predicted to win the match based on superior season performance, offensive strength, and goaltending confidence.
Predicted Score: Winnipeg Jets 4 – 2 Calgary Flames