Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-31
- Time: 4:00 AM UTC
- Location: Shark Park
Game Overview
The Cronulla Sutherland Sharks host the Newcastle Knights in Round 26 of the 2025 NRL season, with the Sharks clear favourites due to strong recent form and home advantage, while the Knights continue to struggle with a seven-game losing streak.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cronulla Sharks have won five of their last six games, recently thrashing the Titans 54-22. Newcastle Knights are on a seven-game losing streak and have conceded 176 points in their last four matches.
- Sharks have dominated recent matchups, winning five of their last six encounters and most recently beating Newcastle 34-14 in April 2025.
- Cronulla welcome back KL Iro and add Braden Hamlin-Uele to the bench after Cameron McInnes suffered a season-ending injury. Newcastle have no significant changes to their lineup despite poor form.
- The Sharks benefit from playing at home (Shark Park) with a strong crowd presence. Newcastle face internal turmoil with coach Adam O’Brien reportedly under pressure.
- Cronulla are motivated to maintain momentum and secure a top-four finish ahead of the finals. Newcastle lack confidence and are under pressure due to their poor form and coaching instability.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -725 | Cronulla Sutherland Sharks | ★★★★☆ 85% |
Spread | -115 | Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -17.5 | ★★★★☆ 80% |
Over/under | -115 | Over 49.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 49.5 31% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Cronulla Sharks to win straight-up, cover the -17.5 spread, and the game to go over 49.5 points.
Predicted Score: Cronulla Sharks 36 – Newcastle Knights 14