Match Analysis: Vancouver Canucks vs Calgary Flames – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-24
- Time: 2:10 AM UTC
- Location: Rogers Arena, Vancouver, British Columbia
Game Overview
The Vancouver Canucks host the Calgary Flames in a Pacific Division matchup at Rogers Arena. The Canucks enter the game with a 9-11-2 record, while the Flames are struggling at 7-13-3. Both teams are in the middle of their respective seasons, with the Canucks showing modest improvement at home and the Flames struggling on the road. The game is set for a 9 p.m. ET start, with live coverage on ESPN+.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Canucks have shown better form at home (3-6-1) but have been inconsistent overall, scoring 2.7 goals per game and allowing 3.1. The Flames have struggled away from home (3-9-1), averaging 2.3 goals per game and conceding 3.4. Vancouver's offense is led by Quinn Hughes, while Calgary relies on Nazem Kadri for scoring and playmaking.
- Recent head-to-head matchups have been competitive, with the Canucks holding a slight edge in the last five meetings. The most recent game between the two teams ended in a 5-1 victory for Vancouver, indicating a current momentum shift in favor of the home team.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads are expected to field their regular starting lineups.
- The game is being played at Rogers Arena, which typically provides a strong home-ice advantage for the Canucks. The Flames have struggled in hostile environments this season, particularly on the road.
- The Canucks are looking to solidify their position in the playoff race, while the Flames are fighting to avoid the bottom of the standings. Both teams have playoff aspirations, adding extra motivation to the contest.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Calgary Flames: 124, Vancouver Canucks: -148 | Vancouver Canucks | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Calgary Flames: 1.5 -205, Vancouver Canucks: -1.5 170 | Vancouver Canucks -1.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
| Over/under | Over: 5.5 -135, Under: 5.5 114 | Under | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Vancouver Canucks -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 28% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Vancouver Canucks are favored to win this matchup due to their stronger home record and recent form. The Flames' struggles on the road and defensive issues make it difficult for them to compete in Vancouver. A close game is expected, but the Canucks should edge out the Flames.
Predicted Score: Vancouver Canucks 3-2 Calgary Flames