Match Analysis: Winnipeg Jets vs Columbus Blue Jackets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-19
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg, MB
Game Overview
The Winnipeg Jets host the Columbus Blue Jackets in an NHL Central vs Metropolitan Division clash. The Jets come off a recent shootout road win and have been solid at home with back-to-back wins. The Blue Jackets, with a 10-7-2 overall record, seek to rebound after a recent shootout victory. Both teams show balanced performances, with the Jets slightly favored due to home advantage and recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Winnipeg Jets have an 11-7-0 overall record, with a 5-3-0 home record, demonstrating strong home ice performance. They average about 3 goals scored per game and concede roughly 3.11 goals, ranking 17th and 19th respectively in league offense and defense. Columbus Blue Jackets hold a 10-7-2 record, and while decent on the road with 5-4-1, they have had mixed results lately, with a recent shootout win bolstering confidence.
- Over the past 10 games between the two, the win count is evenly split at five wins each. The most recent encounter at the Canada Life Centre saw the Blue Jackets win 4-1, but the Jets have regained momentum and are favored at home in the upcoming match.
- Elvis Merzlikins (CBJ goalie) is confirmed to start and is a key player. Jet Greaves is likely out with the starting goalie for the Blue Jackets noted as Merzlikins. Brad Lambert has been assigned to the AHL and Nikita Chibrikov variable status. No major injuries reported impacting starting lineups.
- The game is played at the Canada Life Centre, giving Winnipeg home ice advantage. Both teams have played tough recent schedules but Jets appear fresher with back-to-back wins at home. Columbus has had slight travel considerations but found a morale boost in their last shootout win.
- Winnipeg aims to build on recent home winning streaks and maintain position in the Central Division, while Columbus looks to gain a key road victory to boost their Metropolitan Division standing. Both teams motivated but Jets hold slight edge due to home crowd and recent performance.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Columbus Blue Jackets: 163, Winnipeg Jets: -210 | Winnipeg Jets | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Columbus Blue Jackets: 1.5 -155, Winnipeg Jets: -1.5 125 | Winnipeg Jets to cover -1.5 spread | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 6.5 -106, Under: 6.5 -118 | Under 6.5 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Winnipeg Jets 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 6.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 6.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Winnipeg Jets are predicted to win this game in regulation time, with a moderately high confidence level due to home advantage, recent form, and evenly matched head-to-head history leaning towards Jets with momentum.
Predicted Score: Winnipeg Jets 4 – 2 Columbus Blue Jackets