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Fluminense vs. Botafogo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fluminense vs Botafogo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

A Carioca derby between Fluminense and Botafogo in the Brazil Campeonato, featuring two teams with fluctuating recent form and closely matched historical performance, with Fluminense as slight favorites playing at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Botafogo shows a stronger recent form (11W-6D-6L) compared to Fluminense's inconsistent results (9W-4D-9L) including draws and losses at home. Botafogo won their recent encounter 2-0 in April 2025, indicating they can defeat Fluminense even away. Fluminense’s home form is mixed with 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss in last three games.
  • Across 59 matches, Botafogo has 19 wins against Fluminense, showing competitive historical balance. Recent results favor Botafogo with a 2-0 win in April 2025, but home advantage and derby motivation can swing outcomes.
  • No major injuries reported for either side affecting key starters, implying both teams will likely field near full-strength squads.
  • Playing at Maracanã gives Fluminense home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions expected normal for Rio de Janeiro late September, unlikely to affect game significantly.
  • Both teams are motivated due to league standings impact and local rivalry. Botafogo’s momentum and previous win over Fluminense add confidence, but home crowd support boosts Fluminense’s drive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline +215 Botafogo ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread -128 Botafogo +0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under -119 Under 2 Goals ★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Botafogo 58%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Botafogo at 58% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Botafogo Moneyline

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Grêmio vs. Botafogo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Botafogo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-24
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena do Grêmio

Game Overview

A Brasileirão Serie A match featuring mid-table Grêmio hosting Botafogo, a slightly more in-form team struggling for consistency. The game is poised to be competitive with both sides capable of scoring but showing defensive vulnerabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Botafogo holds a better recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 matches versus Grêmio's 2 wins and 3 draws in their last 7. Botafogo also has a more positive goal difference recently and better away resilience.
  • Recent H2H matches show an edge for Botafogo with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss against Grêmio in the last 5 meetings, including a recent away win. Matches tend to be low-scoring but competitive.
  • Grêmio has some key defensive absences which may weaken their back line, while Botafogo has a relatively fit squad with no major injuries reported.
  • The game is at Grêmio’s home Arena do Grêmio, potentially boosting their performance. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be neutral with no significant impact.
  • Botafogo is slightly more motivated aiming for higher table positions and to consolidate form, while Grêmio is mid-table with less immediate pressure but inconsistent form may affect confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline 155 Botafogo ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Botafogo 0 -125 Botafogo +0 (Draw No Bet) ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.25 102 Over 2.25 Goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Botafogo 22%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Botafogo at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Botafogo moneyline

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Botafogo vs. Atletico Mineiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Botafogo vs Atletico Mineiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Botafogo enters this home fixture relatively stronger in recent form and head-to-head history versus Atletico Mineiro, who have displayed uneven performances and defensive vulnerabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Botafogo holds better recent form (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses in last 5) with a solid defense conceding only 0.4 goals per match; Atletico Mineiro has 3 wins but 2 losses, conceding 1.4 goals per match.
  • Historically, Botafogo leads with 25 wins out of 52 matches against Atletico Mineiro’s 16, with 11 draws; recent H2H meetings show parity, but Botafogo won the last season matchup 2-0 at home.
  • No significant injury reports affecting key starters from either side ahead of this match.
  • Home advantage for Botafogo at Estádio Nilton Santos and no reported weather or travel complications; motivation for Botafogo to consolidate top-table position greater than mid-table Atletico.
  • Botafogo currently ranks 6th in the league and aims to maintain upward momentum, while Atletico Mineiro sits 13th, fighting inconsistency and defensive issues.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -148, away: 440, draw: 255 Botafogo ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread home: -112, away: -108 Botafogo -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: -102, under: -118 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Botafogo 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Botafogo to win on the moneyline, cover -0.75 spread, and match to go under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Botafogo vs. Mirassol Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Botafogo vs Mirassol – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-17
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Botafogo Home Stadium

Game Overview

Botafogo hosts Mirassol in a closely contested Brazil Campeonato match. Both teams show strong attacking potential with relatively good recent form; Botafogo’s slight home edge and defensive solidity contrast with Mirassol's strong comeback ability and wing attacks.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Botafogo holds a decent record with 7 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, averaging 1.13 goals scored and 0.63 conceded per game recently. Mirassol is slightly better in points with 7 wins, 7 draws, 2 losses and averages about 1.69 goals scored, 1 goal conceded, highlighting a more offensive style but more fragile defense.
  • Mixed recent H2H with Botafogo winning 2 of the last 5 matches and Mirassol 2 wins as well. Botafogo holds a slight ATS edge (60%) and all recent games have hit the over line, showing likelihood for goals.
  • No major injuries reported for either side, indicating both teams at full competitive strength.
  • Game is at Botafogo’s home ground providing a slight crowd support and atmosphere advantage. Weather conditions appear stable with no disruptions expected.
  • Both teams are motivated; Mirassol pushing to maintain top 5 positioning while Botafogo aims to capitalize on home matches to close gap in league table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Botafogo: -150, Mirassol: 425, Draw: 265 Botafogo ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Botafogo -0.75: -112, Mirassol +75: -108 Botafogo -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102 Over 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Botafogo -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Botafogo to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.75 spread, and match to go over 2.25 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – September 17, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Botafogo vs. Mirassol Prediction Botafogo Win -150 ★★★★☆ 72% (72%)
Feyenoord vs. Fortuna Sittard Prediction Feyenoord -1.5 -119 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Real Salt Lake vs. Los Angeles FC Prediction Los Angeles FC Win 125 ★★★☆☆ 68% (68%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +590

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $138.03

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Sao Paulo vs. Botafogo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Botafogo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

Sao Paulo hosts Botafogo in a key Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A fixture. Sao Paulo has a better recent form and home advantage, while Botafogo is mid-table with a less consistent record. The matchup suggests a tight contest with Sao Paulo favored but Botafogo able to challenge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sao Paulo sits 9th with 15 points from 11 games (4W-3D-3L), scoring 11 and conceding 5. Botafogo is 13th with 12 points from 11 games (2W-6D-3L), scoring 9 and conceding 11. Sao Paulo’s defense is stronger, conceding less, and they have a slightly better recent form (3W in last 6) compared to Botafogo’s mixed results.
  • Recent meetings are competitive but Sao Paulo historically holds slight advantage at home. Both teams show moderate scoring frequency but also capable defensive performances leading to a balanced matchup.
  • No major injury information available indicating key absences for either side, suggesting both teams likely field near full-strength squads.
  • Match is played at Sao Paulo’s home ground, which is a significant advantage. No notable external disruptions or weather concerns reported.
  • Sao Paulo aiming to climb higher in the standings and consolidate a top-10 position, with recent momentum. Botafogo fighting to avoid relegation danger and seeking points to move up from precarious 13th place.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Botafogo: 265, Sao Paulo: 123, Draw: 193 Sao Paulo ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Botafogo +25: -108, Sao Paulo -0.25: -112 Sao Paulo -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2: -102, Under 2: -118 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 23%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sao Paulo at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Sao Paulo win, Spread: Sao Paulo -0.25, Over/Under: Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 14, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 14, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Rennes vs. Lyon Prediction Lyon 151 33%
Vasco da Gama vs. Ceará Prediction Under 2 108 25%
Sao Paulo vs. Botafogo Prediction Sao Paulo 123 23%

Combined Odds: +1064 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $232.85

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Botafogo vs. Bragantino-SP Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Botafogo vs Bragantino-SP – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Nilton Santos (Engenhão), Rio de Janeiro

Game Overview

Botafogo hosts Bragantino-SP in a Brasileirão Serie A clash where Botafogo is slightly favored given home advantage, stronger recent form, and better league standing.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Botafogo has a stronger performance profile with 8 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses from 17 matches, sitting 5th with +13 goal difference; Bragantino is 9th with 8 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses in 20 matches and a -4 goal difference.
  • Recent encounters show slight edge to Botafogo, including a 2-0 Copa do Brasil win and draws in league and Copa Libertadores matches, indicating competitive but Botafogo-favored H2H dynamics.
  • No critical injuries reported that affect Botafogo’s starting lineup; Bragantino’s injury status not notable enough to shift advantage.
  • Match played at Botafogo’s home stadium, boosting home team confidence; no adverse weather or travel complications noted.
  • Botafogo motivated to consolidate top 5 position; Bragantino looking to improve form after recent struggles including a five-game losing streak in other competitions.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Botafogo: -176, Draw: 285, Bragantino-SP: 500 Botafogo ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Botafogo -1: 105, Bragantino +1: -125 Botafogo -1 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Botafogo 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Botafogo to win on the moneyline, covering the -1 spread; total goals under 2.5 expected due to tactical approaches and previous low scoring encounters.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Juventude vs. Botafogo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Juventude vs Botafogo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Alfredo Jaconi

Game Overview

Botafogo, sitting 5th with a positive goal difference, faces struggling Juventude, who are 18th with a poor defensive record. Botafogo is in better form, while Juventude recently showed some resilience at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Botafogo holds a stronger recent form (8W-5L-4D) compared to Juventude's struggles (4W-2L-11D) and ranks higher in the standings with +12 goal difference versus Juventude's -21.
  • Recent meetings favor Juventude slightly; Juventude won the last match 2-1 in April 2025, but overall Botafogo has generally been more consistent across the season.
  • No major injury reports available for either side; squads expected to be near full strength.
  • Game played at Juventude's home ground, which could slightly boost the home side despite form disparity.
  • Botafogo motivated to secure top-table positioning, while Juventude fights to escape relegation zone, adding pressure and urgency to their performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Botafogo: -107, Juventude: +295, Draw: +235 Botafogo ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Botafogo -0.5: -105, Juventude +50: -115 Botafogo -0.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.25: -105, Under 2.25: -115 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 69%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Botafogo 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Botafogo moneyline win, Botafogo -0.5 spread, Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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LDU Quito vs. Botafogo Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: LDU Quito vs Botafogo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-21
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito

Game Overview

This second leg matchup in the Copa Libertadores Round of 16 features LDU Quito hosting Botafogo after the first leg in Rio de Janeiro. Botafogo carries momentum from a strong group stage and recent home advantage, while LDU Quito seeks to leverage home conditions and altitude in Quito.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Botafogo showed solid form advancing as second in Group A with 12 points, and has a keen defensive record at home, keeping 4 clean sheets in last 5 home Libertadores matches. LDU Quito have a less consistent recent form, including a recent away loss in their domestic league and limited recent Libertadores success at home.
  • The only recent reported clash saw Botafogo win 2-1 at home in a previous encounter. Overall, Botafogo has a slightly stronger historical edge, especially playing at home.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either team before this match; new Botafogo signings settled in with no disruptions.
  • LDU Quito benefits from home altitude conditions which can be challenging for visiting teams like Botafogo, but Botafogo has previously shown resilience in away Libertadores matches.
  • Botafogo, as defending champions and with a streak of strong home performances, hold strong motivation to progress in the tournament. LDU Quito needs a positive home result to overturn the initial deficit and continue in the competition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Home: 125, Away: 245, Draw: 220 Home (LDU Quito) win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread LDU Quito -0.25: -125, Botafogo +25: -105 Botafogo +0.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: 118, Under 2.5: -155 Under 2.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline LDU Quito 26%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: LDU Quito at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Botafogo to win (Moneyline), LDU Quito +0.25 goals (Spread), Under 2.5 goals (Over/Under)

Predicted Score: 1-1


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