Match Analysis: St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-25
- Time: 11:45 PM UTC
- Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri
Game Overview
The St. Louis Cardinals host the Pittsburgh Pirates in an MLB match where the Cardinals, despite a mediocre season record (64-67), are favorites due to superior recent form at home and stronger pitching matchup. The Pirates (57-74) have shown brief recent resurgence but overall remain underdogs.
Key Factors to Consider
- Pirates have won 4 of their last 5 games but still have a losing season overall; Cardinals have only 2 wins in last 5 but maintain solid home form and more consistent pitching.
- Recent head-to-head results favor Cardinals, with a notable 10-5 win in previous meeting. Cardinals historically have the edge at home.
- No critical injury reports for either side that heavily impact starting pitchers or lineup strength.
- Game played at Busch Stadium outdoors under typical late summer conditions; no weather issues reported. Cardinals benefit from home crowd support and familiarity.
- Cardinals fight to improve standing slightly above .500; Pirates with lower motivation given subpar season but recent wins may fuel effort.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | St. Louis Cardinals -140 / Pittsburgh Pirates +127 | St. Louis Cardinals | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 +153 / Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 -175 | St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 8 -117 / Under 8 -103 | Under 8 runs | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | St. Louis Cardinals 3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8 18% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
St. Louis Cardinals to win on the Moneyline and cover the -1.5 run spread; game total to go under 8 runs.
Predicted Score: Cardinals 4 – Pirates 2