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Nacional vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Nacional vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio da Madeira, Funchal, Portugal

Game Overview

Sporting Lisbon currently top the Primeira Liga table with perfect form, having won their opening two matches with a dominant goal difference of 8-0. Nacional are struggling near the bottom with only one point from two games and have yet to secure a win this season. Historically, Sporting have a strong record against Nacional, winning 90% of recent encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon have shown impressive offensive and defensive form, scoring 8 goals and conceding none in the first two matches. Nacional have struggled offensively and defensively, scoring only one goal while conceding three.
  • Sporting Lisbon have a dominant recent record over Nacional, including a 2-0 victory in their last encounter and multiple wins in their last ten meetings.
  • Nacional have significant absences, including Brazilian forward Isaac and defender Miguel Baeza, potentially weakening their attack and defense. Sporting Lisbon reportedly have no major injury concerns affecting their starting lineup.
  • The match takes place at Estadio da Madeira, home to Nacional, but their poor recent home form and Sporting’s superior overall quality and momentum mitigate home advantage.
  • Sporting Lisbon are motivated to maintain their perfect start and reinforce their status as title contenders, while Nacional fight to find their first win and improve morale.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nacional: 875, Sporting Lisbon: -385, Draw: 500 Sporting Lisbon ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Nacional +1.75: -122, Sporting Lisbon -1.75: 102 Sporting Lisbon -1.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3: -120, Under 3: 100 Over 3 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon to win outright (Moneyline), with a spread cover of -1.75 goals and over 3 total goals scored

Predicted Score: 0-3


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Nacional vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction

Match Analysis: Nacional vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-23 Time: 5:00 PM UTC Location: Estadio da Madeira, Funchal, Portugal Game Overview Sporting Lisbon currently top the Primeira Liga table with perfect form, having won their opening two matches with a dominant goal difference of 8-0. Nacional are struggling near the bottom with […]

August 23, 2025 Nacional Soccer Sporting Lisbon

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Benfica vs. Tondela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Benfica vs Tondela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio da Luz

Game Overview

Benfica hosts Tondela in a Portugal Primeira Liga match. Benfica have historically dominated this matchup, with a strong recent form, and significant home advantage. Tondela struggles notably against Benfica and currently sits near the bottom of the league standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica won 12 of the last 14 meetings with Tondela, scoring on average 2.5 goals per match and conceding only 0.57. They also have a strong start this season while Tondela has lost both their opening matches and is 17th in the table.
  • Out of 14 encounters, Benfica have 12 wins and 1 draw versus only 1 Tondela win. Benfica scored 35 goals against Tondela’s 8 across these matches, showing dominance especially at home.
  • No major injury concerns announced for Benfica. Tondela’s key players have some minor fitness issues but no confirmed absences, yielding slightly weakened squad depth and quality.
  • The match is at Benfica's home stadium, Estádio da Luz, offering a significant home ground advantage. Weather and travel impact are minimal.
  • Benfica, currently mid-table, are motivated to push for European qualification spots and maintain home dominance. Tondela faces pressure from relegation zone proximity, but morale may be low after recent losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline benfica: -725, tondela: +1500, draw: +700 Benfica ★★★★☆ 87%
Spread benfica_-2: -122, tondela_+2: +102 Benfica -2 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over_3: -118, under_3: -102 Over 3 Goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica to Win

Predicted Score: 3-0


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Arouca vs. Rio Ave FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Arouca vs Rio Ave FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca, Portugal

Game Overview

This Liga Portugal match features Arouca hosting Rio Ave FC. Recent trends show Rio Ave is undefeated in 12 of their last 13 matches against Arouca, indicating strong recent performance despite Arouca's slight historical edge in total wins. The teams have closely matched head-to-head statistics with balanced scoring rates.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arouca's last 5 matches: 3 wins, 2 draws, scoring 1.2 goals and conceding 0.8 on average. Rio Ave's last 5 matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8 goals per match, showing a more offensive but slightly vulnerable defense.
  • Across 20 past meetings, Arouca has 7 wins and Rio Ave 8, with 5 draws. Recent seasons favor Rio Ave, who are undefeated in 12 of their last 13 clashes, suggesting momentum advantage.
  • Available data does not specify impactful injuries for either team, indicating likely full-strength squads.
  • Match played at home grounds of Arouca may provide some home advantage but recent head-to-head suggests Rio Ave handles this well. No significant external disruptions reported.
  • Rio Ave currently has stronger motivation to maintain their unbeaten streak against Arouca and improve their upper mid-table position, while Arouca aims to capitalize on home advantage to start the season strongly.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arouca: +100, Rio_Ave_FC: +270, Draw: +240 Arouca ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Arouca_-0.5: +102, Rio_Ave_+50: -122 Arouca -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over_2.5: +105, Under_2.5: -125 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arouca -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Arouca to win. Spread: Arouca -0.5. Over/Under: Under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Moreirense FC vs. Vitória SC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Moreirense FC vs Vitória SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos, Portugal

Game Overview

Moreirense FC, currently 5th in the Primeira Liga, hosts Vitória SC who sit 9th. Both teams have demonstrated similar average goals scored (~1.5) but differ defensively with Moreirense allowing fewer goals on average (0.5) than Vitória SC (2.5). Historically, Vitória SC holds a stronger head-to-head record, though Moreirense has been more consistent recently.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Moreirense have a stronger defensive record and a slightly better current form with longer unbeaten and winning runs. Vitória SC has been less consistent and concedes more goals.
  • Vitória SC leads H2H with more wins (18 to 5) but Moreirense has won 4 of their past 25 meetings. Recent encounters suggest balanced competitiveness with a slight Vitória edge.
  • No specific injury information provided for either side; assume full-strength squads.
  • Match played at Moreirense’s home ground provides a home advantage. No other external disruptions noted.
  • Moreirense higher league standing (5th) likely motivates them to secure points and maintain position. Vitória SC mid-table placement offers moderate motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Moreirense FC: 240, Vitória SC: 121, Draw: 215 Moreirense FC ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Moreirense FC: -108, Vitória SC: -112 Moreirense FC -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: 100, Under 2.25: -120 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Moreirense FC 63%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Moreirense FC at 63% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Moreirense FC to win; Spread: Moreirense FC -0.25; Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Gil Vicente vs. FC Porto Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Gil Vicente vs FC Porto – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-18
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Gil Vicente Home Stadium

Game Overview

Gil Vicente hosts FC Porto in a Primeira Liga clash where historically Porto dominates but recent results show some competitive balance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gil Vicente has shown resilience at home with a recent notable 3-1 win over Porto earlier this year; Porto has mixed recent form with some draws and losses and scored about 1.2 goals per recent match.
  • Out of 28 meetings, Porto has won 21, Gil Vicente 4, with 3 draws. However, Gil Vicente won the latest home match 3-1 and the teams have traded wins recently, showing some recent H2H volatility.
  • No specific injury reports available; assume no major absences affecting starting lineups significantly.
  • No weather or other external disruptions noted; Gil Vicente's home advantage is notable.
  • Porto likely motivated to assert dominance after recent mixed results and Gil Vicente will seek to leverage home momentum and recent psychological edge from their last home win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gil Vicente: 500, Draw: 355, FC Porto: -214 FC Porto ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread FC Porto -1: -125, Gil Vicente +1: 105 Gil Vicente +1 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -110 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Porto -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Porto to win on the moneyline but potentially by a narrow margin on the spread; total goals slightly leaning toward under 2.5 based on teams' recent scoring and defensive patterns.

Predicted Score: Gil Vicente 1 – 2 FC Porto


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Sporting Lisbon vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon

Game Overview

Sporting Lisbon faces Arouca in the Portuguese Primeira Liga matchday 2, both teams coming off opening wins. Sporting shows strong form and home advantage, while Arouca is competitive but a clear underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting won their first match 2-0 with solid defense; currently in good form with home advantage. Arouca won 3-1 but has weaker defense and inconsistent recent results.
  • Sporting has historically dominated Arouca with a strong winning record, reflecting a significant skill and quality gap between the clubs.
  • No major injuries reported for Sporting; Arouca’s squad appears mostly fit with no key absences affecting the lineup.
  • Match played at Sporting's home stadium provides tactical and psychological advantage. No significant external disruptions or weather concerns expected.
  • Sporting aims to consolidate early momentum and climb the table; Arouca motivated to prove competitive but underdogs likely to focus on defensive solidity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -375, Draw +475, Arouca +850 Sporting Lisbon ★★★★☆ 84%
Spread Sporting Lisbon -1.5 -120, Arouca +1.5 +100 Sporting Lisbon -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3 -105, Under 3 -115 Under 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon to win on the moneyline, covering the -1.5 spread, with the match going under 3 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Santa Clara vs. Moreirense FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Santa Clara vs Moreirense FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada (Santa Clara's home ground)

Game Overview

Santa Clara, sitting at the bottom after a heavy 0-3 loss in their opener, host Moreirense FC who are in good form after a 2-1 away win, making this a crucial match for both seeking early season momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Santa Clara lost heavily 0-3 at home on matchday 1 and desperately need points; Moreirense started stronger with a 2-1 away victory and currently sits 7th in the league.
  • In the last 22 meetings, the teams are closely matched with Santa Clara having 7 wins, Moreirense 8 wins, and 7 draws, showing a balanced historical rivalry.
  • No significant injury reports affecting starting lineups for either side, indicating both teams should field near full-strength squads.
  • Home advantage favors Santa Clara, playing at Estádio de São Miguel, with fan support likely boosting their motivation.
  • Santa Clara urgently need a positive result to stop a poor start, while Moreirense want to maintain momentum and consolidate their mid-table position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Santa Clara -115, Draw 215, Moreirense 365 Santa Clara ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Santa Clara -0.5 -115, Moreirense +50 -105 Santa Clara -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2 -102, Under 2 -118 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Santa Clara 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Santa Clara moneyline (home win), spread -0.5 for Santa Clara, Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Alverca vs. Braga Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Alverca vs Braga – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Alverca Home Stadium

Game Overview

Alverca hosts Braga in the 2nd matchday of the 2025/26 Primeira Liga season. Braga enters with strong momentum after a 3-0 away victory, while Alverca is trying to recover from an opening day loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Braga is in good form with a 3-0 win in their opener showing attacking strength and defensive solidity. Alverca lost their opener 2-1 and has struggled offensively.
  • Recent meetings have favored Braga, demonstrating better overall performance and superior squad depth.
  • No major injury updates reported for either side prior to the match that would significantly impact starting lineups.
  • Match played at Alverca home venue, but Braga’s superior form and squad quality neutralize home advantage.
  • Braga motivated to maintain winning streak and build early league momentum. Alverca motivated to avoid two losses but under pressure from poor start.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alverca: 4.25, Braga: 1.65, Draw: 2.75 Braga ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Alverca +75: 1.00, Braga -0.75: 1.83 Braga -0.75 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5: 1.02, Under 2.5: 1.82 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Braga 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Braga to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.75 spread, with a moderately high chance of over 2.5 goals given Braga’s attacking display and Alverca’s defensive vulnerabilities.

Predicted Score: 1-3


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Rio Ave FC vs. Nacional Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Rio Ave FC vs Nacional – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio dos Arcos, Vila do Conde, Portugal

Game Overview

Rio Ave FC hosts Nacional in a crucial Primeira Liga Matchday 2 encounter. Rio Ave seeks to build on a mixed start with solid home form, while Nacional attempts to rebound from a poor start with zero points after a loss in their opener. Both teams have shown offensive capability, making this matchup highly competitive.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rio Ave has 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches, showing inconsistency but a relatively stronger recent form compared to Nacional, which has 4 losses and 1 win in their last 5 games. Nacional currently sits bottom of the league with zero points, suffering a 0-2 loss in their last match.
  • Recent direct clashes have been competitive and high-scoring, including a thrilling 3-3 draw in their last meeting. The H2H history suggests an entertaining game with potential goals from both sides.
  • No major injury reports currently available for either team that would decisively impact the lineups.
  • Rio Ave enjoys home advantage with fan support at Estadio dos Arcos. No significant external disruptions expected.
  • Rio Ave aims to stabilize their season with positive results at home. Nacional is desperate to escape the relegation zone early after a poor season start, increasing their urgency to perform.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Rio Ave FC: 130, Nacional: 215, Draw: 220 Rio Ave FC ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Rio Ave FC -0.25: -102, Nacional +25: -118 Rio Ave FC -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25: -125, Under 2.25: 105 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rio Ave FC 38%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Rio Ave FC at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rio Ave FC to win on the moneyline, covering a narrow spread, with a moderately low-scoring game under 2.25 goals expected.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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CF Estrela vs. Benfica Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: CF Estrela vs Benfica – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Jose Gomes, Amadora, Portugal

Game Overview

Benfica is the clear favorite based on historical dominance and current form, facing CF Estrela Amadora who has never beaten them in the last 15 meetings. Benfica is competing for Champions League qualification and shows stronger offensive and defensive stats.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica ranks 11th, Estrela 9th; Benfica averages 2.36 goals scored per game and concedes 0.8, while Estrela averages 0.81 goals scored and concedes 1.46. Benfica has a longer winning streak and fewer losses recently.
  • In their last 20 meetings, Benfica won 18, Estrela none in the last 15 meetings. Benfica has scored 50 goals to Estrela's 11 overall historically.
  • No significant injuries reported affecting either side, both teams expected to field strong lineups.
  • Home advantage slightly favors Estrela, but they have limited success historically at home against Benfica. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be neutral.
  • Benfica has high motivation to secure points for Champions League qualification, Estrela is focused on mid-table stability.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Benfica -550, CF Estrela 1200, Draw 575 Benfica ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Benfica -2 105, CF Estrela +2 -125 Benfica -2 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3 -108, Under 3 -112 Over 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica moneyline win, -2 goal spread for Benfica, over 3 goals total

Predicted Score: 0-3


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