Match Analysis: St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-17
- Time: 6:16 PM UTC
- Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
Game Overview
The New York Yankees (66-57) visit the St. Louis Cardinals (61-63) for the final game of their three-game series at Busch Stadium. Both teams have similar overall records and are motivated to secure a winning streak after splitting the previous two games. The probable starting pitchers are Will Warren (Yankees) and Miles Mikolas (Cardinals), with Warren having the pitching edge based on season stats.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Yankees have a stronger offensive profile, batting .250 with a .330 OBP and .447 slugging, and producing 5.1 runs per game (3rd in MLB). Pitching-wise, they have a 4.04 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. The Cardinals have a .243 team average and a higher pitching ERA of 4.97 (Miles Mikolas).
- The teams have split their first two matchups of this series. Historical matchups favor the Yankees slightly, including Warren's positive track record against the Cardinals.
- No significant injuries reported impacting either starting lineup or pitching staffs for this game.
- The game is played at Busch Stadium, home of the Cardinals, which is moderately pitcher-friendly, but Yankees' offensive depth could mitigate that advantage.
- Yankees aim to continue building momentum before a crucial upcoming stretch, while Cardinals look to even the series and improve their .500-ish season record.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Yankees -146, Cardinals +124 | Yankees | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Yankees -1.5 +112, Cardinals +1.5 -134 | Yankees -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 9 -118, Under 9 -104 | Over | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York Yankees -4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 9 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New York Yankees to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 spread, and the game to go over 9 total runs.
Predicted Score: Yankees 6 – Cardinals 4