Match Analysis: Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: The City Ground, Nottinghamshire, England
Game Overview
Nottingham Forest hosts Sunderland in a Premier League fixture with Forest slightly favored despite their underwhelming start to the season. Sunderland, in better recent form and higher table position, are underdogs but dangerous on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nottingham Forest (1-2-2) have scored 5 and conceded 9 goals, with no clean sheets yet. They face defensive vulnerabilities given an xGA of 7.6 and a negative goal difference. Sunderland (2-2-1) sit 7th with stronger early season form, tighter defensive stats, and productive midfield. Both teams show moderate goal threat.
- Recent H2H details not fully available, but historical matches suggest competitiveness with low scoring outcomes. Sunderland has given Forest challenges recently, but Forestβs home advantage is notable.
- Nottingham Forest have no significant injury concerns reported. Sunderland are missing Aji Alese (shoulder) and Romaine Mundle (hamstring), but no immediate impact players out for this match.
- Game played at The City Ground benefits Nottingham Forest. Weather and travel impact minimal. No notable external disruptions reported.
- Nottingham Forest look to stabilize results after inconsistency and avoid dropping points at home, which is critical. Sunderland aims to build on a strong start and capitalize on Forestβs defensive weaknesses.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -125 | Nottingham Forest | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | -0.5 -128 | Nottingham Forest -0.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Under 2.5 -129 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Nottingham Forest 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 10% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Nottingham Forest moneyline win
Predicted Score: 1-0