Match Analysis: Princeton Tigers vs Temple Owls – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-26
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: State Farm Field House, Orlando, Florida
Game Overview
The 2025 NCAA men's basketball matchup between the Princeton Tigers and Temple Owls at a neutral site features Temple as the favorites with a 7.5-point spread and a total points line near 150.5. Princeton, with a 3-4 record, is trying to extend its home winning streak despite playing a neutral site game, while Temple (3-2) looks to rebound after recent losses. Key players like Princeton's Dalen Davis (16.5 PPG) and Temple's Derrian Ford (16.8-18.5 PPG) will be crucial in determining the outcome. Temple boasts better offensive efficiency and shooting percentages overall and has shown night game strength, but both teams have displayed inconsistent form this season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Temple averages 81.3 PPG on 46.7% shooting, led by Derrian Ford and Aiden Tobiason, while Princeton averages 71.7 PPG on 40.5% shooting, led by Dalen Davis. Temple's recent defensive struggles include giving up 91 points in their last game. Princeton has been inconsistent with a 3-4 record including recent losses, while Temple stands at 3-2 but also experienced recent defeats.
- Historical matchups show limited recent encounters, with Temple winning most prior meetings including a 60-47 win in 2005. Current odds and consensus from sportsbooks favor Temple to win and cover with a 7.5-point advantage.
- No significant injury information available for either team, implying both rosters likely close to full strength.
- Neutral venue in Orlando could neutralize home advantage although Princeton seeks to maintain momentum from home winning streaks. Temple has performed well in night games and at neutral sites recently.
- Temple is motivated to bounce back after a heavy loss and capitalize on their recent night game success. Princeton aims to leverage home streak energy and upset the favored Owls.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | princeton: +300, temple: -385 | Temple win | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | princeton: +7.5 -110, temple: -7.5 -110 | Temple -7.5 cover | β β β β β 80% |
| Over/under | over: 149.5 -115, under: 149.5 -105 | Under 149.5 points | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Temple Owls 188% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 149.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Temple Owls at 188% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 62.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Temple Owls to win and cover the spread with a final score prediction of Temple 78, Princeton 69.
Predicted Score: Temple 78 – Princeton 69