Match Analysis: Chicago Blackhawks vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: United Center, Chicago, Illinois
Game Overview
The Toronto Maple Leafs (8-8-2) face the Chicago Blackhawks (8-5-4) at the United Center on Saturday, November 15, 2025. The Maple Leafs are slight favorites on the road, but the Blackhawks have shown strong home form and a recent uptick in performance. Both teams are trending toward high-scoring games, with Toronto averaging 3.29 goals per game (10th in NHL) and Chicago allowing 3.19 shots per game (31st in NHL). The matchup features two teams with contrasting defensive and offensive profiles, setting up a potentially volatile and exciting contest.
Key Factors to Consider
- Toronto Maple Leafs have struggled on the road (1-4-0 away) but are strong offensively, ranking 10th in goals scored per game (3.29) and 5th in power play percentage (26%). Their defense is middle-of-the-pack, allowing 2.59 goals per game (3rd best). Chicago Blackhawks have a solid home record (3-2-2) and are defensively sound, allowing only 2.59 goals per game (3rd best), but their offense is less prolific, ranking 20th in shots per game (24.9). However, Chicago has shown resilience, winning 5 of their last 7 games.
- Recent head-to-head matchups are not detailed in the sources, but both teams have faced each other multiple times in recent seasons. The Maple Leafs have generally held a slight edge in recent meetings, but the Blackhawks have shown the ability to compete closely, especially at home.
- No major injuries are reported for either team in the available sources. Both rosters are expected to be at full strength for this matchup.
- The game is being played at the United Center, a venue known for its strong home support. The Blackhawks have a 3-2-2 home record, indicating a solid home advantage. The weather and travel conditions are not expected to impact the game.
- Both teams are in the middle of the standings, with the Blackhawks looking to solidify their playoff position and the Maple Leafs aiming to improve their road record. The motivation is high for both teams, with the Blackhawks seeking to build on their recent home success and the Maple Leafs looking to bounce back from a recent loss.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chicago Blackhawks: 117, Toronto Maple Leafs: -143 | Toronto Maple Leafs | β β β ββ 60% |
| Spread | Chicago Blackhawks: 1.5 -220, Toronto Maple Leafs: -1.5 170 | Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
| Over/under | Over: 6 -115, Under: 6 -108 | Over | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Toronto Maple Leafs -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 6 22% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 6 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The game is expected to be closely contested, with the Maple Leafs having a slight edge due to their offensive prowess. However, the Blackhawks' strong home form and defensive capabilities make them a formidable opponent. The game is likely to be high-scoring, with both teams capable of putting up goals.
Predicted Score: Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Chicago Blackhawks 3