Match Analysis: Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-11
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Game Overview
The Toronto Maple Leafs, coming off a strong season opener, visit the Detroit Red Wings who are looking to bounce back after a tough initial loss. Both teams are in the Atlantic Division, with Toronto holding a 1-0-0 record and Detroit 0-1-0. The matchup is expected to be competitive, but Toronto's superior recent form and roster health give them an edge.
Key Factors to Consider
- Toronto is 1-0 in their last 5 games and opened strong this season. Detroit has struggled with a 0-1 start and has yet to find rhythm at home.
- Recent head-to-head matchups favor Toronto, showcasing better offensive and defensive execution against Detroit.
- No major injuries reported for either team affecting starting lineups. Both squads appear near full strength.
- The game being at Detroit offers home crowd support, but Toronto's road performance has been consistent.
- Detroit is motivated to avoid an 0-2 start and break a franchise playoff drought, while Toronto aims to build momentum on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Detroit Red Wings: +120, Toronto Maple Leafs: -148 | Toronto Maple Leafs | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5: +210, Detroit Red Wings +1.5: -263 | Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 6.5: +105, Under 6.5: -125 | Under 6.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Toronto Maple Leafs -4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Toronto Maple Leafs to win on the moneyline, covering the spread and the game to go under total goals.
Predicted Score: Toronto Maple Leafs 3 – Detroit Red Wings 1