Match Analysis: Kennesaw State Owls vs Arkansas State Red Wolves – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Walens Family Field at Fifth Third Stadium
Game Overview
The Arkansas State Red Wolves and Kennesaw State Owls enter this matchup with identical 1-2 season records, meeting at Kennesaw State's home stadium. Arkansas State is favored by bookmakers with a slight points spread advantage and moneyline odds reflecting confidence in their ability to edge out Kennesaw State in a close contest.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams have struggled early this season, each sitting at 1-2. Arkansas State has demonstrated a tendency to cover the spread more often, being 5-2 ATS in their last seven games. Kennesaw State has been inconsistent, going 1-2 against the spread in recent games. Offensive production has been modest, with neither team showing dominance in scoring efficiency.
- Recent direct matchups between these programs are limited due to Kennesaw State's relatively new transition to FBS, but Arkansas State holds a slight edge historically in games against similar competition. The competitive parity this season suggests this will be a tightly contested game.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest data, implying both squads should field near full strength.
- The game is played at Walens Family Field at Fifth Third Stadium in Kennesaw, with expected conditions around 82Β°F and about 31% chance of rain with light wind, which should not significantly impact play styles or scoring.
- Both teams are motivated to improve their early season 1-2 standing, with Arkansas State looking to prove their favored status and Kennesaw State eager to defend home turf and establish momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Arkansas State -198, Kennesaw State +164 | Arkansas State | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Arkansas State -4.5 -115, Kennesaw State +4.5 -105 | Arkansas State -4.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 56.5 -108, Under 56.5 -112 | Under 56.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Arkansas State Red Wolves -13% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 56.5 10% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 56.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Arkansas State moneyline
Predicted Score: Arkansas State 24 – Kennesaw State 18