Match Analysis: Army Black Knights vs North Texas Mean Green – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Blaik Field at Michie Stadium
Game Overview
The Army Black Knights host the North Texas Mean Green in a matchup where North Texas enters undefeated at 3-0, while Army holds a 1-1 record. North Texas is favored on the moneyline and spread, with a moderately low over/under reflecting a balanced expectation of scoring.
Key Factors to Consider
- North Texas is undefeated this season (3-0) demonstrating strong recent form compared to Army’s more modest 1-1 start. Army has a historically strong home environment but is only 1-5 against the spread at home recently.
- Recent head-to-head data is limited, but North Texas appears to have the upper hand in betting trends and overall metrics.
- No significant injury reports indicate major impacts to either team's key players leading up to the game.
- The game is played at Army’s home stadium in favorable weather conditions (~66°F, no rain, light wind), which could slightly favor Army’s disciplined play style.
- North Texas looks motivated to maintain their unbeaten start and prove superiority in a road game. Army is motivated by a strong home crowd and the opportunity to break even in season record.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Army: 118, North Texas: -142 | North Texas | ★★★★☆ 76% |
| Spread | Army: +2.5 -102, North Texas: -2.5 -120 | North Texas -2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | over: 50.5 -105, under: 50.5 -115 | Under 50.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | North Texas Mean Green -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 50.5 8% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 50.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
North Texas Moneyline – The Mean Green are expected to continue their strong start and secure a straight win, despite close spreads; the higher confidence and superior form support this pick.
Predicted Score: North Texas 27 – Army 20
