Match Analysis: BYU Cougars vs Stanford Cardinal – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-07
- Time: 2:15 AM UTC
- Location: LaVell Edwards Stadium, Provo, UT
Game Overview
The BYU Cougars, coming off a dominant 1-0 start, host the Stanford Cardinal who are 0-1. BYU is a heavy favorite with a double-digit spread and substantial moneyline advantage, indicating expectations for a lopsided game.
Key Factors to Consider
- BYU showed offensive dominance opening the season with a 69-0 blowout against an FCS opponent, while Stanford struggled offensively in their opener, managing only 20 points with a low yards per play average. BYU has a markedly stronger offensive unit and defense compared to Stanford.
- Recent head-to-head matchups favor BYU, with the Cougars consistently outperforming Stanford both in win margins and covering spreads in recent seasons. Stanford has struggled to keep pace against BYU's offensive scheme.
- No major injuries reported for BYU impacting the key offensive and defensive starters. Stanford's roster appears intact but their lack of offensive weapons remains a limiting factor.
- Home-field advantage for BYU with the game in Provo, Utah, supports their likelihood of winning big. The game timing and location favor BYU fans and conditions.
- BYU is motivated to maintain momentum after a strong season opener. Stanford looks to rebound from a disappointing start and will lean heavily on their running game to manage the clock and keep BYU's offense off the field.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | BYU Cougars: -1450, Stanford Cardinal: 810 | BYU Cougars | β β β β β 87% |
Spread | BYU Cougars: -110, Stanford Cardinal: -110 | BYU Cougars -20.5 | β β β β β 78% |
Over/under | Over: -110, Under: -110 | Under 45.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | BYU Cougars -9% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 45.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on BYU Cougars to cover the spread (-20.5) and win outright, with the total score going under 45.5 points due to Stanford's offensive struggles and expected game control by BYU.
Predicted Score: BYU Cougars 34 – Stanford Cardinal 14