Match Analysis: Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-06
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: SeatGeek Stadium, Bridgeview, Illinois
Game Overview
Chicago Fire enter this MLS matchup with a stronger season standing and home advantage, facing New England Revolution who have been out of playoff contention and are experiencing a recent dip in form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Chicago Fire hold a 11-6-10 record with 39 points, averaging 1.44 points per game; New England Revolution have an 8-7-13 record with 31 points and a weaker defensive record.
- Traditionally, Chicago Fire dominate H2H with 73 wins vs. 27 for New England, though 4 of the last 6 matches ended in draws, indicating potential competitiveness.
- Expected starters include goalkeepers Chris Brady (Chicago) and Matt Turner (New England). No significant injury reports affecting key players have surfaced.
- Game at home for Chicago Fire, who are motivated to climb into playoff spots; weather expected to be mostly sunny and favorable for play.
- Chicago Fire are pushing for playoff contention and have strong motivation; New England Revolution are already out of playoff contention which may reduce their intensity.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago Fire -133, New England Revolution +300, Draw +320 | Chicago Fire | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Chicago Fire -0.5 -139, New England Revolution +50 +104 | Chicago Fire -0.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Over/under | Over 3.5 +111, Under 3.5 -147 | Under 3.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago Fire 9% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3.5 9% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chicago Fire to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and the game to go under 3.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 2-1