Match Analysis: Oregon Ducks vs Wisconsin Badgers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: Oct 25, 2025
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Autzen Stadium, Eugene, OR
Game Overview
No. 6 Oregon (6-1, 3-1 Big Ten) hosts Wisconsin (2-5, 0-4 Big Ten) in a Big Ten conference matchup. Oregon is enjoying a strong season, while Wisconsin is struggling, especially on the road (0-2 this season). The game is nationally televised on FS1.
Key Factors to Consider
- Oregon has demonstrated dominance against both ranked and unranked teams, with significant wins such as 41-7 over Midwestern State and a 30-24 overtime win at No. 3 Penn State. Their only loss was to No. 7 Indiana. Wisconsin, meanwhile, has lost four straight, including heavy defeats against Iowa (0-37), Ohio State (0-34), and Michigan (10-24), having failed to score in two of those games. Their offense is not producing, especially against top competition[1][2].
- Recent head-to-head data is not provided, but Oregon is a national title contender, while Wisconsin is in the Big Ten basement.
- No specific injury updates are available in the provided data.
- Oregon will be playing with home-field advantage, and their offense is in high gear, while Wisconsin's morale is likely low after back-to-back blowout losses[1][2].
- Oregon is aiming for the Big Ten title and a playoff spot. Wisconsin is trying to avoid a winless conference season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oregon: -5000, Wisconsin: +2500 (estimated based on the spread, as true moneyline odds are not available in the data) | Oregon | โ โ โ โ โ 95% |
| Spread | Oregon Ducks -31.5 (-110), Wisconsin Badgers +31.5 (-110) | Oregon Ducks -31.5 | โ โ โ โ โ 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 43.5 (-115), Under: 43.5 (-105) | Under | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 43.5 27% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Under 43.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Oregon is a massive favorite, both due to their season form and Wisconsinโs recent struggles. Expect Oregon to win comfortably, likely in a lopsided victory where Wisconsin struggles to move the ball or score[1]. Oregon's defense could easily produce a shutout; Wisconsin's recent form suggests another potential blowout loss.
Predicted Score: Oregon 41, Wisconsin 3