Match Analysis: Kansas Jayhawks vs West Virginia Mountaineers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium
Game Overview
The Kansas Jayhawks (2-1) host the West Virginia Mountaineers (2-1) in a Big 12 clash. Kansas is a strong favorite both on the moneyline and against the spread, with a 13.5 point spread and an over/under set at 55.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kansas has scored a total of 104 points in their first three games with solid offensive performances led by QB Jalon Daniels. West Virginia enters off a momentum-boosting overtime win against Pittsburgh. Kansas showed recent vulnerability in their 42-31 loss to Missouri, while West Virginia's defense is strong against the run.
- Kansas holds an edge against the spread with 6-1-1 in their last 8 meetings, and the last 4 meetings have tended to go over the total points line.
- No significant injury news for either team has been reported, maintaining full-strength rosters for this matchup.
- The game is at Kansas' home stadium, giving the Jayhawks a home-field advantage. West Virginia comes off an emotional overtime victory, which could impact their energy levels.
- Kansas is motivated to assert dominance early in Big 12 play after a tough loss to Missouri, while West Virginia aims to build on their recent high-profile road win to start conference play strongly.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Kansas: -490, West Virginia: +365 | Kansas Jayhawks | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Kansas -13.5: -112, West Virginia +13.5: -108 | Kansas Jayhawks -13.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Over/under | Over 55.5: -108, Under 55.5: -112 | Under 55.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Kansas Jayhawks -13% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 55.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 55.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Kansas Jayhawks to cover the -13.5 spread, game going under the 55.5 total points.
Predicted Score: Kansas Jayhawks 31 – West Virginia Mountaineers 17