Match Analysis: Chicago White Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-11
- Time: 6:10 PM UTC
- Location: Rate Field, Chicago, Illinois
Game Overview
Tampa Bay Rays (72-73) visit Chicago White Sox (56-90) late in the MLB season. Rays are slight favorites with superior pitching and better overall record. White Sox have shown recent form improvement at home and won the last home game in the series.
Key Factors to Consider
- Rays have a 3.87 pitching ERA and a solid lineup led by Yandy Diaz and Junior Caminero. White Sox have a weaker offense with .236 batting average and a 4.25 team ERA but have won 8 of last 10 games overall and are 31-43 at home.
- The two teams are tied 1-1 in this series. White Sox won the previous home game. White Sox have historically struggled as underdogs but are currently showing form improvements.
- No significant injuries reported impacting either starting pitcher or key hitters for both teams.
- Game played in Chicago at Rate Field favors White Sox. Weather likely neutral. Rays travel schedule ahead but manageable. No notable external disruptions.
- Rays fighting to maintain playoff contention with a near .500 record; White Sox out of playoff race but motivated by recent upset wins and playing at home.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: +130, away: -143 | Tampa Bay Rays | β β β β β 70% |
Spread | home: -137, away: +117 | Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | over: -125, under: 105 | Over 8 runs | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Tampa Bay Rays -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 8 1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet Tampa Bay Rays moneyline, bet Rays -1.5 spread, bet over 8 runs total
Predicted Score: Tampa Bay Rays 5 – Chicago White Sox 3