Match Analysis: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs Sam Houston State Bearkats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-07
- Time: 4:00 AM UTC
- Location: Home (Hawaii Rainbow Warriors)
Game Overview
The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors host the Sam Houston State Bearkats in a Week 2 NCAA football matchup. Hawaii aims to rebound after a heavy loss and carries momentum as a consistent September favorite, while Sam Houston State is winless ATS as an underdog this year.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hawaii is 1-1 this season, recovering from a 40-6 loss to Arizona but showing balanced offensive production with effective passing and rushing. Sam Houston State is 0-2, struggling to cover spreads and failing to deliver as road underdogs.
- No recent direct H2H data available, but Hawaii has a strong September home record and consistent success as favorites in recent years.
- No significant injury reports impacting key players for either team reported.
- Hawaii benefits from home-field advantage and travel challenges for Sam Houston State. Weather and typical travel fatigue over distance may favor Hawaii.
- Hawaii has strong motivation to bounce back from a heavy defeat and maintain a winning September March, while Sam Houston State looks to gain its first win of the season but lacks ATS confidence on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -265 / +215 | Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | β β β β β 70% |
Spread | -7 (-105) / +7 (-115) | Hawaii Rainbow Warriors -7 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | 47.5 -115 / -105 | Under 47.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Hawaii Rainbow Warriors -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 47.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors to win outright and cover the 7-point spread with a moderately low-scoring game under 47.5 points.
Predicted Score: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 28 – Sam Houston State Bearkats 20