Match Analysis: Hull City vs Oxford United – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-17
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: MKM Stadium
Game Overview
Hull City, coming off a solid defensive display with a draw against Coventry City, face Oxford United who are looking to recover after a home loss to Portsmouth and have a recent 3-game losing streak.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hull City shows defensive resilience and moderate recent form (DWLWD), while Oxford United struggles offensively and is on a losing streak (DLLLD). Both teams have near equal points but Hull's defense edges out.
- In the last 7 meetings, Hull has 2 wins, Oxford 3 wins, and 2 draws. Hull leads marginally on goal difference 9-8.
- No explicit injury data available from search results; assume line-ups close to full strength with no key absences reported.
- Match played at Hull's home MKM Stadium, giving them home advantage.
- Hull motivated to build on defensive stability and gain points at home. Oxford is motivated to end their losing streak but may struggle to break Hull's defense.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Hull City: -119, Oxford United: 315, Draw: 235 | Hull City | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Hull City -0.5: -115, Oxford United +50: -105 | Hull City -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.25: 102, Under 2.25: -122 | Under 2.25 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Hull City 7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Hull City to win with a close scoreline; under 2.25 goals likely given Hull's defensive organization and Oxford's scoring struggles.
Predicted Score: 1-0