Match Analysis: Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-02
- Time: 7:11 PM UTC
- Location: Colorado Rockies Home Stadium
Game Overview
The game features the struggling Colorado Rockies hosting the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Pirates have a superior record and are favored by bookmakers, backed by strong pitching and better recent form. Rockies’ pitching and offense have been underwhelming.
Key Factors to Consider
- Pirates hold a 47-62 record with stronger road performance (21 wins) and solid pitching from Paul Skenes (6-8, 1.83 ERA). Rockies are 29-80 overall, 12- at home, with starting pitcher Austin Gomber struggling (0-5, 6.28 ERA).
- Pirates have performed better historically in recent matchups, often capitalizing on Rockies' weaker pitching. Recent H2H favors Pirates winning more games.
- No notable injuries reported that would significantly affect either team's starting pitchers or key offensive players.
- Game played at Rockies’ home ballpark known for being hitter-friendly, potentially increasing total runs scored.
- Pirates motivated to continue better season and improve playoff chances; Rockies largely out of contention and less motivated.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Colorado Rockies +176, Pittsburgh Pirates -210 | Pittsburgh Pirates | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Spread | Colorado Rockies +1.5 +112, Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 -134 | Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 10 -114, Under 10 -106 | Over 10 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Pittsburgh Pirates -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 10 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 10 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Pittsburgh Pirates to win outright on moneyline. Spread: Pirates -1.5 runs. Over/Under: Over 10 runs scored.
Predicted Score: Pirates 6, Rockies 3