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Hadji Ndiaye vs. Wojciech Kawa Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Hadji Ndiaye vs Wojciech Kawa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-14
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Ergo Arena, Gdansk/Sopot, Poland

Game Overview

This matchup between Hadji Ndiaye and Wojciech Kawa in KSW 107 presents a competitive fight with both fighters having a strong background in MMA. Ndiaye primarily relies on decisions, while Kawa has a mix of knockout and decision wins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hadji Ndiaye has a record of 6 wins with 5 by decision, while Wojciech Kawa has 8 wins with 6 by knockout. Both fighters have different strengths to bring to the table.
  • There is no recent head-to-head data between these fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight environment and crowd support could influence performance, but both fighters are experienced and likely accustomed to such factors.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, with Ndiaye looking to improve his knockout record and Kawa seeking to leverage his knockout skills.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hadji Ndiaye: -120, Wojciech Kawa: -110 Wojciech Kawa β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Wojciech Kawa 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Wojciech Kawa at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the skills and experience of both fighters, this match is closely contested. However, Wojciech Kawa's knockout prowess might give him an edge in finishing the fight.

Predicted Score: N/A (MMA does not typically use numerical scores)


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Jordan Vucenic vs. Torpal Merjoev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jordan Vucenic vs Torpal Merjoev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Indigo at The O2, London

Game Overview

Lightweight bout featuring Jordan Vucenic, a former Cage Warriors champion and UFC veteran, returning to London against rising Norwegian prospect Torpal 'Rambo' Merjoev. This is a main card clash at Cage Warriors 196 with significant implications for both fighters' careers.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vucenic holds a 13-4 record with 6 submissions and 5 decision wins, demonstrating well-rounded striking and grappling. Merjoev is an undefeated 6-0 prospect with 2 submissions and 3 decisions, showing rapid development but limited high-level competition. Vucenic's experience advantage is substantialβ€”he has fought at elite levels including the UFC, while Merjoev remains a rising prospect.
  • No previous matchup history. Merjoev views this as a significant step-up opportunity against an established veteran, while Vucenic is reasserting himself at the Cage Warriors level after UFC stint.
  • No injury information available in current data.
  • The bout takes place at The O2 in London, a venue where Vucenic has previously competed with legendary moments. Merjoev is traveling from Norway as a rising prospect seeking a career-defining victory. Vucenic's return to Cage Warriors after UFC experience signals motivation to reclaim prominence.
  • Vucenic is motivated to establish himself back in Cage Warriors after UFC exposure. Merjoev is highly motivated as this represents a breakthrough opportunity against elite-level competition. A Merjoev victory could fast-track title considerations, while Vucenic needs to demonstrate he remains a top-tier threat at this level.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vucenic -600 | Merjoev +350 Jordan Vucenic β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jordan Vucenic -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Jordan Vucenic at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jordan Vucenic to win via submission or decision. The former UFC fighter's superior experience, proven grappling (6 submissions), and veteran poise overcome Merjoev's undefeated record and youth advantage.

Predicted Score: Vucenic wins via submission (Round 2) or unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)


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Jawany Scott vs. Michelangelo Lupoli Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jawany Scott vs Michelangelo Lupoli – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Indigo at The O2, London

Game Overview

Flyweight/Bantamweight bout between Jawany Scott (UK, home fighter) and Michelangelo Lupoli (Italy, guest fighter) at Cage Warriors 196 in London. Scott is favored at -440 moneyline odds, reflecting home advantage and shorter winning streak for Lupoli.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Michelangelo Lupoli is on a short winning streak but fighting as a guest competitor. Jawany Scott competes at home with local advantage. Historical data shows 68% win rate for domestic fighters in this promotion over the past 2 years, suggesting systematic home advantage.
  • No previous matchup history between Scott and Lupoli. First-time meeting creates uncertainty but eliminates predictable patterns.
  • No injury information available in provided data.
  • Home venue advantage significantly favors Scott. Lupoli faces potential judging bias as visiting fighter. Historical promotion data suggests 68% domestic fighter win rate, indicating possible selection of favorable matchups or consistent home advantage effects.
  • Scott fighting at home in London with moral advantage and crowd support. Lupoli has short winning streak providing confidence but faces psychological pressure of away fighting and potential bias concerns.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Scott -440 | Lupoli +270 Jawany Scott β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jawany Scott -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Jawany Scott at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jawany Scott wins via Decision

Predicted Score: Scott wins by Decision (likely unanimous or split decision given competitive bantamweight division)


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Ollie Sarwa vs. Tuomas Gronvall Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Ollie Sarwa vs Tuomas Gronvall – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Indigo at The O2, London, England

Game Overview

Bantamweight main card matchup at Cage Warriors 196 between Ollie Sarwa and Tuomas Gronvall. Sarwa enters as the betting favorite with -160 moneyline odds, indicating market confidence in his abilities. Gronvall, fighting out of Finland with a 13-9-1 record, is the underdog at +120.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ollie Sarwa is favored by the market with significant odds movement, opening at -400 and moving to -250 closing odds, suggesting strong market confidence and likely recent dominant performance. Tuomas Gronvall carries a 13-9-1 professional record, indicating a fighter with moderate experience but inconsistent results.
  • No previous head-to-head history between these fighters in available data.
  • No injury information available in provided data.
  • Fight takes place in London at a premium venue (The O2), which may provide home advantage considerations. This is a main card fight at a significant Cage Warriors event.
  • Both fighters competing at a major Cage Warriors event with main card placement, suggesting high-profile opportunity for both competitors.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sarwa -160 / Gronvall +120 Ollie Sarwa β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw -100%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Ollie Sarwa to win by decision or submission.

Predicted Score: Unable to determine without more detailed fighter striking, grappling, and submission statistics


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Thomas Paull vs. Marin Vetrila Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Thomas Paull vs Marin Vetrila – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Cage Warriors (Venue not explicitly listed)

Game Overview

A Lightweight prelim fight between Thomas Paull and Marin Vetrila at Cage Warriors 196 event, with sportsbooks heavily favoring Vetrila.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Marin Vetrila is favored with recent stronger form and more consistent performances in Cage Warriors, showing superior striking and grappling metrics; Thomas Paull appears less experienced with mixed outcomes in recent fights.
  • No recorded previous head-to-head meetings between Thomas Paull and Marin Vetrila.
  • No publicly announced injuries for either fighter at match time.
  • The fight is a prelim lightweight bout in Cage Warriors with no known external disruptions; both fighters motivated to capitalize on career momentum.
  • Marin Vetrila has higher motivation driven by better recent performances and being the betting favorite, while Thomas Paull seeks to make a mark against a strong opponent, possibly increasing risk-taking.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Marin Vetrila: -300, Thomas Paull: +200 Marin Vetrila β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread Marin Vetrila -1.5 rounds: -150, Thomas Paull +1.5 rounds: +130 Marin Vetrila -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: +120, Under 2.5 rounds: -140 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marin Vetrila -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Marin Vetrila at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marin Vetrila to win by moneyline with confidence in a moderately low total fight duration (under rounds) due to expected control and experience advantage.

Predicted Score: Marin Vetrila wins by 2nd round stoppage


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Kadeem Perkins vs. Ciaran Brady Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Kadeem Perkins vs Ciaran Brady – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Indigo at the O2, London, England

Game Overview

The bantamweight prelim fight between Kadeem Perkins and Ciaran Brady is set for three rounds as part of Cage Warriors 196. Perkins enters undefeated at 4-0, with a strong submission rate, while Brady is 3-0 with all wins by decision. Brady is favored on the moneyline at -175, while Perkins is a +135 underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Perkins has a perfect record with 75% submission wins, showing grappling dominance. Brady has won all fights by decision and has no submission or KO wins, indicating a more tactical, grinding style.
  • This is their first recorded matchup, so no direct H2H data is available.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight takes place in London, England (home region advantage slightly favoring Brady from Ireland, close proximity). Both fighters motivated by maintaining undefeated records in the Cage Warriors circuit.
  • Both fighters are undefeated and looking to build early momentum; Perkins may have slight mental edge due to finishing capabilities and recent tournament success.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brady -175 / Perkins +135 Brady β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Brady -1.5 rounds (implied) at standard -110 Brady -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Under 2.5 rounds around -165; Over 2.5 rounds around +120 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ciaran Brady -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Ciaran Brady at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Ciaran Brady to win by decision; Spread: Brady to win by 3 round decision (i.e., full distance); Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Ciaran Brady wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Brad Wheeler vs. George McManus Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Brad Wheeler vs George McManus – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Indigo at the O2, London, England

Game Overview

Welterweight matchup in Cage Warriors 196 between highly experienced Brad Wheeler and younger, less experienced George McManus. Scheduled for 3 rounds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brad Wheeler holds a significantly better professional record (18-16) with a well-rounded finishing ability (KOs and submissions), while George McManus has a balanced but less experienced record (4-4) and relies heavily on submissions and KOs but with a less consistent performance history.
  • No confirmed previous encounters between Wheeler and McManus found, so no direct H2H data available.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter before the match.
  • Fight in London favors Brad Wheeler, a UK fighter with greater experience fighting in Cage Warriors events; McManus shows less exposure to high-level competition environments.
  • Wheeler appears motivated to reverse his recent defeat series and leverage his experience to regain momentum, while McManus aims to establish himself by upsetting a veteran fighter.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +120, away: -160 George McManus β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread +1.5 @ -110 for Brad Wheeler Brad Wheeler +1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -120 / Under 2.5 rounds +100 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline George McManus -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: George McManus at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brad Wheeler by submission

Predicted Score: Brad Wheeler wins by submission in round 2


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Maciej Kazieczko vs. Adam Masaev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Maciej Kazieczko vs Adam Masaev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: KSW Event Venue

Game Overview

The fight between Maciej Kazieczko and Adam Masaev is a significant KSW matchup featuring two strong mixed martial artists with contrasting recent forms and market expectations. Masaev is the strong favorite on the moneyline indicating perceived dominance, while Kazieczko offers high return odds as the underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Adam Masaev has been in better recent form with consistent victories in KSW, showing well-rounded skills and finishing ability, while Maciej Kazieczko has struggled against higher-tier opponents but remains a resilient competitor.
  • No direct past fights have been recorded between Kazieczko and Masaev, making this their first encounter which adds uncertainty to matchup dynamics.
  • No significant recent injuries reported for either fighter, both appear to be in healthy condition entering this bout.
  • The fight is held in a neutral environment at KSW, with no clear home advantage; travel and other external impacts are minimal.
  • Both fighters are motivated to advance their standing in KSW, but Masaev's recent winning streak and heavier favor in odds suggest higher confidence and momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Adam Masaev: -410, Maciej Kazieczko: 280 Adam Masaev β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Adam Masaev -1.5 rounds: -150, Maciej Kazieczko +1.5 rounds: +130 Adam Masaev -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: +100 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Adam Masaev -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Adam Masaev at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Adam Masaev wins by moneyline due to superior recent form, skill level, and strong betting market consensus despite the high payout offered on Kazieczko for an upset.

Predicted Score: Adam Masaev wins by TKO in Round 2


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Tomasz Romanowski vs. Alain Van De Merckt Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Tomasz Romanowski vs Alain Van De Merckt – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: KSW 112

Game Overview

Middleweight matchup between Tomasz Romanowski and Alain Van De Merckt at KSW 112. This is a main card fight in the middleweight division featuring two competitors in a major European MMA promotion.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Insufficient detailed statistical data available on recent form, fight records, striking accuracy, takedown defense, submission threat, and performance trends for both fighters.
  • No head-to-head history data available in search results.
  • No injury information available.
  • Fight is scheduled for KSW 112, a major European MMA event. Romanowski appears to be the slight underdog based on current odds.
  • Both fighters competing on a significant main card event, indicating high-stakes opportunity for both competitors.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Romanowski: +105 | Van De Merckt: -145 Van De Merckt β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw -100%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Based on available odds, Van De Merckt is favored. However, insufficient statistical depth prevents a high-confidence directional prediction. The current market pricing suggests Van De Merckt has approximately 59% implied probability of victory versus Romanowski's 49% implied probability, with a slight vig adjustment.

Predicted Score: Unable to predict – insufficient fighter statistics, fighting styles, and historical performance data available. Recommend obtaining: recent fight records, striking/grappling statistics, finish rates, defense metrics, and stylistic matchup analysis before making high-confidence wagers.


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Marian Ziolkowski vs. Marcin Held Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Marian Ziolkowski vs Marcin Held – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: KSW 112

Game Overview

Marian Ziolkowski faces Marcin Held in a lightweight bout at KSW 112. Ziolkowski enters as the betting underdog despite carrying -138 odds at some books, while Held is favored at +105. This matchup features two experienced KSW competitors with contrasting recent trajectories.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ziolkowski demonstrated knockout power in his most recent bout, securing a Round 2 TKO victory over Salahdine Parnasse on May 10, 2025, finishing at 8:54. This recent finish victory suggests strong current form and timing. Held's recent record and performance details are not clearly available in the provided data, limiting direct comparison.
  • No prior head-to-head history is documented in the available information. This is a fresh matchup with no previous encounters to analyze.
  • No injury information is available for either fighter in the provided data.
  • Both fighters compete within the KSW organization, suggesting familiarity with the promotion's rules and environment. The event timing on November 15, 2025 is approximately 2 days away from the current date.
  • Ziolkowski appears motivated following a recent knockout victory, potentially riding momentum. Held enters as the betting favorite, suggesting bookmakers view him as the stronger technical matchup or more experienced fighter at this stage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ziolkowski +100 / Held -140 Marian Ziolkowski Victory β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marian Ziolkowski 16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Marian Ziolkowski at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marian Ziolkowski presents significant value as an underdog. His recent knockout finish demonstrates current offensive capability and timing, while Held's recent form remains unclear. At even money (+100), Ziolkowski offers attractive risk-reward for a fighter with demonstrable finishing power.

Predicted Score: Ziolkowski via TKO Round 2


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