Match Analysis: Club Bolívar vs Cerro Porteño – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-29
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Estadio Hernando Siles (La Paz, Bolivia)
Game Overview
The match between Club Bolívar and Cerro Porteño is a highly anticipated fixture in the Copa Libertadores. Bolívar, known for their strong home performances, face Cerro Porteño, who have struggled in away games. This could be a key factor in determining the outcome.
Key Factors to Consider
- Club Bolívar has been performing well in recent matches, leveraging home advantage to secure crucial wins. Cerro Porteño, however, has faced challenges in away games, particularly against strong opponents like Bolívar.
- In recent matches, Bolívar has dominated Cerro Porteño, winning 2-0 and 4-0 in their last two encounters. However, Cerro Porteño did manage a 4-2 win on April 1, 2025, which could boost their morale.
- No significant injury reports are available for either team. This could mean both teams are at full strength.
- High altitude in La Paz could affect Cerro Porteño's performance, as Bolívar is accustomed to playing at such elevations.
- Both teams are motivated to secure a win, as advancing in the Copa Libertadores is crucial for their respective seasons.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Bolívar -250, Cerro Porteño 625, Draw 360 | Bolívar win | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | Bolívar -1.25 -115, Cerro Porteño 1.25 -115 | Bolívar covers the spread | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.75 -108, Under 2.75 -122 | Over 2.75 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Club Bolívar 444% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.75 12% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Club Bolívar at 444% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 71% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Club Bolívar is favored to win due to their home advantage, past performances against Cerro Porteño, and the challenging conditions for visitors at high altitude.
Predicted Score: Bolívar 3-1 Cerro Porteño