Match Analysis: Villarreal vs Sevilla – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-25
- Time: 2:15 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal, Spain
Game Overview
The La Liga match between Villarreal and Sevilla at Estadio de la Ceramica is the final round fixture of the 2024-2025 season. Villarreal, currently 5th in the league with 67 points, hosts Sevilla, struggling in 16th place with 41 points. Villarreal has been in strong form at home this season, while Sevilla has been inconsistent, losing half of their last six matches. Both teams tend to score in their head-to-head meetings, making this an intriguing matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
- Villarreal has won 20 out of 39 matches this season and remains unbeaten in their last 6 home matches against Sevilla across all competitions. In contrast, Sevilla has lost 50% of their recent 6 games and is fighting relegation pressure.
- In the last 6 encounters, Villarreal and Sevilla have drawn 3 times, with all last 6 meetings featuring goals from both sides. Villarreal has never lost to Sevilla at home in the last 6 matches.
- No specific injury details were available from the data, but lineups remain key to monitor closer to kickoff.
- The venue favors Villarreal significantly as they are playing at home. Sevilla's lower league standing and recent form add pressure.
- Villarreal likely aims to secure European qualification with a win and improve on their 5th place standing, while Sevilla fights to climb out of the relegation zone, increasing the stakes for both teams.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Sevilla: 475, Villarreal: -210, Draw: 390 | Villarreal Win | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Spread | Sevilla: 1.25 -120, Villarreal: -1.25 +100 | Villarreal -1.25 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over: 3 -122, Under: 3 +102 | Over 3 Goals | ★★★☆☆ 57% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Villarreal -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3 -2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Villarreal is favored to win given their home dominance, consistent recent form, and higher league standing, with an expected competitive scoreline due to Sevilla's tendency to score in head-to-head games.
Predicted Score: 3-1 Villarreal