Match Analysis: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-13
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Game Overview
Toronto Maple Leafs will host Detroit Red Wings in the second game of their back-to-back matchups. Toronto enters with a 1-0 start after a 5-2 win against Montreal, showing strong offense and solid defense. Detroit, freshly off a 6-3 win against Toronto on October 11, are looking to capitalize on that momentum despite weaker penalty killing and recent defensive struggles.
Key Factors to Consider
- Toronto demonstrated strong scoring depth and defensive resilience in their season opener, beating Montreal 5-2. Detroit had an impressive 6-3 win over Toronto recently, displaying offensive explosiveness but with defensive concerns especially in penalty kill (ranked 27th with 66.67%).
- Recent H2H results are split with both teams having five wins in the last 10 meetings. However, the latest meeting on October 11 saw Detroit pull off a 6-3 victory, breaking a tight 3-3 tie late in the third period.
- No major injury alerts reported for either side impacting key players, with both teams expected to field close to full strength rosters.
- This game is Toronto's first home match after an away loss to Detroit, giving them motivation to respond strongly in front of home fans. Travel factor favors Toronto who remain home while Detroit are on a road trip.
- Toronto will be keen to avenge their recent defeat and maintain a perfect season start at home. Detroit rides high on confidence from their recent win but face a tough road atmosphere and possible fatigue from travel.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Toronto -200, Detroit +160 | Toronto Maple Leafs | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Toronto -1.5 +110, Detroit +1.5 -130 | Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 6.5 -133, Under 6.5 +110 | Under 6.5 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Toronto Maple Leafs -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Toronto Maple Leafs to win on moneyline
Predicted Score: Toronto Maple Leafs 4 – 2 Detroit Red Wings