Match Analysis: San Jose Sharks vs Ottawa Senators – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 12:10 AM UTC
- Location: SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose, CA
Game Overview
The Ottawa Senators (10-6-4, 24 points) face the San Jose Sharks (10-8-3, 23 points) in a matchup between two teams with strong offensive records but defensive vulnerabilities. The Senators are coming off a 3-2 win over the Ducks, while the Sharks are fresh off a 4-3 shootout victory against the Kings. Both teams are in the middle of busy schedules, with the Senators on a road trip and the Sharks playing at home. The game is expected to be high-scoring, with both teams ranking in the top 10 for goals scored per game.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Senators average 3.25 goals per game (9th in NHL) but allow 3.35 goals per game (25th in NHL), indicating a high-scoring, defensively weak style. The Sharks average 2.95 goals per game (21st) and allow 3.19 goals per game (22nd), also showing a tendency for high-scoring games. The Senators have a better record ATS (6-14) compared to the Sharks (15-6 ATS), but the Sharks have been more consistent at home (6-3-3) than on the road (4-5-0).
- The Senators have won 4 of their last 5 games against the Sharks. The Sharks have lost their last 6 day games following an overtime win, and have failed to cover the puck line in 4 of their last 5 home games following a shootout win. The Senators have a slight edge in recent matchups.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- The game is being played at SAP Center, giving the Sharks home-ice advantage. The Senators are on a road trip, which could affect their performance. The Sharks have a strong defensive unit with Dmitry Orlov and Mario Ferraro, but the Senators' offense is led by Tim Stutzle and Drake Batherson, who have been in good form.
- Both teams are looking to improve their standings in their respective divisions. The Senators are in 3rd in the Atlantic, while the Sharks are in 5th in the Pacific. The Senators are motivated to continue their strong season, while the Sharks are looking to build on their recent home success.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ottawa Senators: -175, San Jose Sharks: 135 | San Jose Sharks | β β β ββ 60% |
| Spread | Ottawa Senators: -1.5 150, San Jose Sharks: 1.5 -190 | San Jose Sharks +1.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
| Over/under | Over: 6 -112, Under: 6 -110 | Over 6 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Jose Sharks 32% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 6 23% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: San Jose Sharks at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The game is expected to be high-scoring, with both teams capable of putting up goals. The Senators have a slight edge in recent head-to-head matchups and are coming off a win, but the Sharks have been strong at home and have a solid defensive unit. The Sharks are likely to win this game, but it will be close.
Predicted Score: San Jose Sharks 4 – Ottawa Senators 3