Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Game Overview
The Milwaukee Brewers, currently leading the NL Central, host the San Francisco Giants in a matchup that sees the Brewers favored at home.
Key Factors to Consider
Milwaukee Brewers have a strong home record of 43-21, while the Giants are 32-35 on the road. The Brewers have recently struggled, losing four of their last six games, but their offense and pitching remain strong. The Giants have scored an average of 3.5 runs per away game in their last 10 matches.
No recent head-to-head data provided, but the Brewers' home advantage could be significant.
No specific injury reports mentioned that would impact this game.
Weather conditions and crowd support could favor the Brewers.
Both teams are motivated, but the Brewers' NL Central lead might add pressure.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers: 111, San Francisco Giants: -134
Milwaukee Brewers
★★★☆☆ 63%
Spread
Milwaukee Brewers: 1.5 -143, San Francisco Giants: -1.5 118
Milwaukee Brewers +1.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
over: 9.5 101, under: 9.5 -123
Under 9.5
★★★★☆ 72%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers 22%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 9.5 31%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 9.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Milwaukee Brewers are likely to win due to their home performance and recent form improvements.
San Diego Padres (71-56) host the San Francisco Giants (61-66) in the fourth game of the series with Padres leading 2-1. Padres are strong at home with solid pitching and hitting performances; Giants are struggling offensively and remain on the fringe of postseason contention.
Key Factors to Consider
Padres boast a .251 team batting average, 3.55 ERA pitching staff, and strong home splits by starter Dylan Cease (3.61 ERA at home). Giants have a weaker offense (.232 BA), pitching ERA 3.68, with Justin Verlander (1-9, 4.23 ERA season) starting, though he has been better historically against Padres.
Padres lead series 2-1, recently dominant with an 8-1 win in game 3. Verlander is 2-0 with 2.95 ERA lifetime vs Padres but current form favors Padres’ pitching and offense.
No notable injuries reported for either team impacting starting pitchers or key hitters.
Weather is favorable: mostly sunny, 74°F, light wind (9 mph), perfect conditions for hitting.
Padres are pushing to close gap in NL West, highly motivated and playing strong baseball. Giants are fighting to stay in wild card race but face uphill battle being 6.5 games out.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Padres -178 / Giants +150
Padres
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
Padres -1.5 +112 / Giants +1.5 -134
Padres -1.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 8 -110 / Under 8 -110
Under 8
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
San Diego Padres -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8 18%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Diego Padres to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 run spread, and the game to go under 8 total runs.