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Dolphins vs. North Queensland Cowboys Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Dolphins vs North Queensland Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-17
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium

Game Overview

The Dolphins host the North Queensland Cowboys in round 20 of the 2025 NRL season at Suncorp Stadium. The Dolphins have established themselves as strong contenders this year with solid form at home, while the Cowboys have been inconsistent and face a tough away challenge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dolphins show strong recent form and have a 69% simulated win probability against the Cowboys based on 10,000 simulations. The Cowboys' away performance and defensive lapses reduce their chances.
  • Historically, the Dolphins have had an edge in their recent encounters, especially at home, reinforcing the model's confidence in the home side's advantage.
  • No significant injury updates impacting starting lineups for either team have been reported, suggesting both sides will field near full-strength squads.
  • Playing at Suncorp Stadium confers a strong home-ground advantage to the Dolphins. Weather conditions are expected to be favourable, allowing for an open and high-scoring game.
  • The Dolphins are motivated to consolidate their ladder position to secure finals contention, while the Cowboys, lower on the table, are under pressure to gain points but may be more prone to errors under stress.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins -179, Cowboys +153, Draw 2200 Dolphins ★★★☆☆ 69%
Spread Dolphins -4.5 -115, Cowboys +4.5 -115 Dolphins -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 64%
Over/under Over 48.5 -115, Under 48.5 -115 Over 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dolphins 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dolphins to win on the moneyline, cover the -4.5 spread, and the total points to go over 48.5

Predicted Score: Dolphins 26 – Cowboys 18


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Dolphins vs. North Queensland Cowboys Prediction

Match Analysis: Dolphins vs North Queensland Cowboys – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-07-17 Time: 9:50 AM UTC Location: Suncorp Stadium Game Overview The Dolphins host the North Queensland Cowboys in round 20 of the 2025 NRL season at Suncorp Stadium. The Dolphins have established themselves as strong contenders this year with solid form at home, […]

Dolphins July 17, 2025 North Queensland Cowboys Rugbyleague

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Gold Coast Titans vs. Brisbane Broncos Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Gold Coast Titans vs Brisbane Broncos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-13
  • Time: 8:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Undisclosed

Game Overview

The Brisbane Broncos are favored to win against the Gold Coast Titans, reflecting their recent form and historical dominance in head-to-head matchups.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brisbane Broncos have shown stronger recent form compared to the Gold Coast Titans.
  • Brisbane Broncos historically have a good record against the Gold Coast Titans.
  • No specific injury updates provided for this matchup.
  • No external factors mentioned that could significantly impact the game.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, but Brisbane Broncos have more to gain in terms of standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos -335, Gold Coast Titans 270 Brisbane Broncos ★★★★☆ 84%
Spread Brisbane Broncos -10.5 -115 Brisbane Broncos -10.5 ★★★★☆ 76%
Over/under Over 49.5 -115, Under 49.5 -115 Under 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos 9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brisbane Broncos to win outright.

Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 28, Gold Coast Titans 18


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Parramatta Eels vs. Penrith Panthers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Parramatta Eels vs Penrith Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-13
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

A high-stakes Western Sydney derby between Parramatta Eels and Penrith Panthers, featuring contrasting bookmaker and statistical model views. Panthers enter as strong favorites, but recent form, home advantage, and derby dynamics suggest a tighter contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Penrith Panthers have been dominant recently, winning their last three matches against Parramatta by narrow margins (1-12 points). Parramatta have a solid home record with 4 wins in 8 games at CommBank Stadium this season, often keeping games close and low scoring.
  • Penrith has a clear edge with recent winning streaks over Parramatta, but margins have been slim. Derby games historically tend to defy form, with both sides capable of grinding out results.
  • No major injuries reported that drastically affect key players from either team, suggesting both sides can field near full-strength lineups.
  • Derby intensity and local rivalry increase unpredictability. Home crowd support for Parramatta is a significant factor, likely boosting their motivation and performance.
  • Parramatta eager to prove themselves against the top-ranked Panthers and capitalize on home advantage. Penrith motivated to maintain dominance and secure premiership points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Parramatta Eels: 2.4, Penrith Panthers: 1.33, Draw: 23 Penrith Panthers ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Parramatta Eels +9.5: -110, Penrith Panthers -9.5: -120 Parramatta Eels +9.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 45.5: -115, Under 45.5: -115 Under 45.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 45.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers to narrowly win with a defensive, low-scoring game outcome, but Parramatta Eels represent strong value against the spread due to bookmaker overestimation of Panthers' margin.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 22 – Parramatta Eels 16


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New Zealand Warriors vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: July 13, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GO Media Stadium, Auckland

Game Overview

This match pits two teams fighting for momentum in the NRL season. The Warriors have home advantage, but both teams have shown inconsistent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Warriors have a marginal edge in attack at home, while both teams struggle defensively under pressure.
  • Historically, the Warriors have a slight advantage, but recent form suggests a close contest.
  • No significant injury updates that would drastically influence the outcome.
  • The Warriors' home crowd could provide a decisive advantage.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve their season standings, but the Tigers have less to lose.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors: -235, Wests Tigers: 195, Draw: 2300 New Zealand Warriors ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread New Zealand Warriors: -7.5 -115, Wests Tigers: 7.5 -115 Wests Tigers +7.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 46.5: -115, Under 46.5: -115 Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Warriors are likely to win, but the game could be close. The spread and over/under markets offer more value.

Predicted Score: New Zealand Warriors 20, Wests Tigers 16


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North Queensland Cowboys vs. Canterbury Bulldogs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: North Queensland Cowboys vs Canterbury Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium, Townsville

Game Overview

The North Queensland Cowboys are facing a tough challenge as they host the Canterbury Bulldogs, who are favored to win. The Bulldogs have been performing well, but the Cowboys' home advantage could be a significant factor in this match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Canterbury Bulldogs have superior recent form, but the Cowboys are known for their resilience at home.
  • No recent head-to-head data suggests a significant advantage for either team.
  • The Cowboys have notable absences with Sam McIntyre and John Bateman sidelined, while Murray Taulagi may return.
  • The tropical conditions in Townsville could favor the Cowboys.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with the Cowboys needing a win to stay in contention and the Bulldogs seeking to solidify their position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs: -225, North Queensland Cowboys: 185 Canterbury Bulldogs Medium
Spread Canterbury Bulldogs: -7.5 -120, North Queensland Cowboys: 7.5 -110 North Queensland Cowboys +7.5 High
Over/under Over: 48.5 -115, Under: 48.5 -115 Under 48.5 Medium

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 -7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Canterbury Bulldogs are favored, but the Cowboys' home advantage and recent return of key players could make this a tighter contest than expected.

Predicted Score: Bulldogs 24, Cowboys 21


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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Not explicitly provided, likely St George Illawarra home ground

Game Overview

The match is a key NRL clash between St George Illawarra Dragons and Sydney Roosters, two fierce rivals. The Roosters have dominated this fixture recently, winning 12 of the last 14 encounters, including the last four straight matches. The Roosters come off a shock loss and are motivated to assert dominance, while the Dragons are fighting to keep their season alive amid inconsistency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sydney Roosters have shown strong form and resilience, buoyed by the return of key playmaker Sam Walker. The Dragons have struggled with consistency and are relying on veterans like Damien Cook to lead defensively. Recent matches saw the Roosters thrash the Dragons 46-18 in Round 8, underlining their superiority.
  • Sydney Roosters have a significant edge in head-to-head matchups, winning 12 out of the last 14 games against the Dragons, including four consecutive wins.
  • Dragons have some players returning from injury including Luciano Leilua and Hamish Stewart, but have dropped Viliami Fifita and Loko Pasifiki Tonga. Roosters have Nat Butcher out but are boosted by the return of Sam Walker and additions like Billy Smith and Angus Crichton.
  • The match is being played in a high-pressure environment for both teams. The Roosters are eager to recover from their upset loss and solidify finals credentials. Broadcast access is broad, with coverage in major rugby league markets, increasing exposure and pressure.
  • Roosters are highly motivated to rebound from a recent upset and maintain their dominance in this rivalry. Dragons are motivated by the need to stay in finals contention, but their inconsistency could be a limiting factor.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline St George Illawarra Dragons: 161, Sydney Roosters: -182, Draw: 2000 Sydney Roosters High
Spread Dragons +5.5: -110, Roosters -5.5: -120 Sydney Roosters -5.5 High
Over/under Over 47.5: -117, Under 47.5: -109 Over 47.5 Moderate

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sydney Roosters 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sydney Roosters at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sydney Roosters to win straight up, continuing their strong recent dominance over the Dragons.

Predicted Score: Sydney Roosters 28 – St George Illawarra Dragons 18


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Newcastle Knights vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle

Game Overview

The Melbourne Storm travel to face the Newcastle Knights in a significant NRL match. The Storm are currently in second place, while the Knights are struggling in 13th. The Storm are favored to win, given their strong recent form and the return of key players from Origin duties.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Storm have been consistent, winning 12 of their last 14 against the Knights. However, the Knights have won their last two home games against the Storm. The Knights lack consistency, having lost six of their last seven home games.
  • The Storm have a dominant head-to-head record against the Knights, winning 12 of the past 14 matches. However, the Knights' recent home victories against the Storm are noteworthy.
  • Kalyn Ponga remains sidelined for the Knights, while the Storm welcome back their Origin players. The Knights have made some adjustments, including Fletcher Hunt starting at fullback.
  • The Storm's motivation to secure the minor premiership could influence their performance.
  • The Storm's drive for the minor premiership and the Knights' desire to stay in contention for the finals could impact team motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -375 for Storm, 300 for Knights, 2400 for Draw Storm to win High
Spread -10.5 for Storm, +10.5 for Knights Storm to cover Medium-High
Over/under 46.5 Over Medium

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -81%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm to win, given their recent form and the return of key players. The Knights' inconsistent performance and injury issues make a Storm victory likely.

Predicted Score: Storm 26 – Knights 16


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. Dolphins Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Dolphins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-11
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Shark Park (Sharks Stadium), Sydney, Australia

Game Overview

The Cronulla Sutherland Sharks face the Dolphins in Round 19 of the NRL at Shark Park, Sydney. Both teams come off a bye week, expected to be well-rested for a crucial contest. The Sharks are currently 10th on the ladder, seeking to halt a two-game losing streak and improve their form at home where they traditionally perform well. The Dolphins sit 7th, aiming to consolidate a top-eight finals position after a strong recent win over South Sydney. The Dolphins have the psychological edge, leading the head-to-head with two wins from two meetings, including a close 30-28 away victory earlier in the season. This match is critical for both teams’ finals ambitions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dolphins have been scoring prolifically, with 184 points in their last four games and strong individual performances like Herbie Farnworth's nine tries in 10 games. The Sharks have struggled, winning only one of their last five games, but have a strong home advantage and key players such as Ronaldo Mulitalo who has an impressive try rate at Shark Park.
  • The Dolphins are undefeated against the Sharks, having won both previous encounters including a decisive 36-16 win at Suncorp and a narrow 30-28 win at Sharks Stadium.
  • The Dolphins lost Kodi Nikorima to a hamstring injury, with Isaiya Katoa stepping into a greater playmaking role bolstered by confidence from recent NSW Blues camp involvement. The Sharks have named a stable squad including utility Daniel Atkinson returning on the bench, maintaining good squad continuity.
  • Both teams enjoying a week off prior to the match should negate fatigue factors. The Sharks benefit from home conditions at Shark Park. Broadcast coverage on major networks suggests a high-profile and closely followed game.
  • The Dolphins are motivated to cement their top-eight spot with a win, while the Sharks look to arrest a poor run and build momentum for a strong season finish. The Sharks' home crowd and history of tough home performances provide motivational leverage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -152, Dolphins: 132, Draw: 2100 Dolphins ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -3.5 -115, Dolphins: +3.5 -115 Dolphins +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 46.5 -115, Under: 46.5 -115 Over 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 40%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the Dolphins' strong recent form, undefeated record vs. Sharks, and scoring prowess, they are favored to win narrowly but the Sharks' home toughness and need for form recovery make it a close contest. The predicted outcome is a Dolphins win by a small margin.

Predicted Score: Dolphins 28 – 24 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks


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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-06
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: 4 Pines Park, Brookvale Oval, Sydney

Game Overview

The Manly Warringah Sea Eagles host the South Sydney Rabbitohs in Round 18 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership at 4 Pines Park. Both teams are traditional rivals with a competitive recent history. The Rabbitohs have won 4 of the last 5 encounters and have a decent record at this venue, which is traditionally a stronghold for Manly. The match promises high intensity with valuable competition points at stake.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly is coming off a Round 17 game against Wests Tigers, preparing to face Melbourne next round. South Sydney recently played the Dolphins in Round 17 and will meet Penrith next. The Rabbitohs have struggled for consistent wins recently but have shown quality performances in patches, indicating potential to break their losing streak. Manly has home-ground advantage and a solid squad selection for this fixture.
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs have the upper hand historically with four wins in the last five encounters against Manly. Additionally, they have taken three wins from five matches at Brookvale Oval in recent times, softening the traditional home advantage for Manly.
  • No explicit injury updates available from the provided data. Both teams appear to have named full squads for this match, with Manly announcing a 22-man squad, hinting at minimal injury concerns impacting team selection.
  • The match is played at Brookvale Oval, which typically favors Manly, but recent Rabbitohs success here suggests a more balanced external environment. Weather or other conditions were not detailed but can be assumed standard for Sydney in July.
  • Both teams have a strong motivation to secure valuable competition points late in the season. South Sydney seeks to snap a recent losing run and maintain momentum against a traditional rival, while Manly aims to leverage home advantage and capitalize on their more stable recent form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: -290, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 230, Draw: 2300 South Sydney Rabbitohs to win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: -9.5 at -115, South Sydney Rabbitohs: +9.5 at -115 South Sydney Rabbitohs +9.5 (cover the spread) ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 47.5: -115, Under 47.5: -115 Under 47.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 139%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles at 139% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 60.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the Rabbitohs' recent dominance in head-to-head meetings and competitive form patches despite inconsistent results, combined with Manly's traditional home strength, the match is expected to be close. The Rabbitohs have a slight edge due to form and psychological advantage. Predicted outcome is a Rabbitohs win by a small margin.

Predicted Score: South Sydney Rabbitohs 24 – 20 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles


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Sydney Roosters vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Sydney Roosters vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-06
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The Sydney Roosters will host the Wests Tigers at Allianz Stadium in a Round 18 NRL clash. The Roosters are currently 6th on the ladder, while the Tigers sit in 14th place, struggling with a six-game losing streak. The Roosters have a long-standing dominance over the Tigers historically and look to continue their strong form despite missing key Origin players. The Tigers are desperate for a win to avoid the wooden spoon and turnaround their poor season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sydney Roosters have a strong record against Wests Tigers, winning 18 of the past 19 encounters. Roosters winger Mark Nawaqanitawase and Daniel Tupou have been prolific try scorers recently. Wests Tigers have notable individual form from centre Starford To’a and winger Sunia Turuva, but their overall team form is poor with six consecutive losses.
  • Historically, the Roosters dominate the matchup, winning 18 of the last 19 matches between the two teams. This trend heavily favors the Roosters in this fixture.
  • Roosters are without several Origin stars including Angus Crichton, Connor Watson, Lindsay Collins, and Spencer Leniu. Egan Butcher returns from concussion, and Tom Rodwell and Max McCathie make their first-grade debuts. Tigers are missing Jarome Luai (NSW Origin) and Api Koroisau (concussion), balancing some of the absences.
  • The match is part of a double-header event at Allianz Stadium with large expected crowds and strong support for both NRL and AFL fans. The venue and atmosphere will be vibrant, potentially favoring the home side.
  • Roosters aim to solidify their finals position and maintain dominance over a struggling Tigers side. Tigers face immense pressure to break their losing streak and avoid the wooden spoon, adding motivation but also pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sydney Roosters: -420, Wests Tigers: 315, Draw: 2500 Sydney Roosters win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Sydney Roosters: -13.5 -115, Wests Tigers: +13.5 -115 Sydney Roosters cover -13.5 points ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 49.5: -120, Under 49.5: -110 Under 49.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sydney Roosters -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sydney Roosters are the strong favorites to win given their superior form, historical dominance, and home advantage. Wests Tigers may put up resistance due to motivation but likely fall short.

Predicted Score: Sydney Roosters 28 – 14 Wests Tigers


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