Match Analysis: Juventude vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-16
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Estádio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul, Brazil
Game Overview
The match features Juventude, struggling near the relegation zone in 19th place, hosting Vasco da Gama, mid-table in 13th place. Both teams have shown mixed recent form in Brazil's Serie A, with Juventude needing points more urgently to avoid relegation, while Vasco has a bit more safety but still aims to climb higher.
Key Factors to Consider
- Juventude ranks 19th with a need for points to avoid relegation, showing inconsistent results at home, while Vasco da Gama sits 13th with slightly stronger away form and a more stable mid-table position.
- Recent H2H results include a 1-1 draw and a 2-0 win for Juventude, indicating competitive encounters with a slight edge toward Juventude in direct matchups.
- No specific injury information available from sources; assume standard squad availability for both sides.
- Match played at Juventude's home stadium, Alfredo Jaconi, providing them with home advantage. Weather or pitch conditions not noted as significant.
- Juventude's motivation is high due to relegation threat which tends to increase desperation and fighting spirit. Vasco's motivation is moderate, aiming for mid-table security or better.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Juventude: 1.55, Vasco da Gama: 1.8, Draw: 2.2 | Juventude | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Spread | Juventude -0.5: 2.1, Vasco da Gama +50: 1.75 | Juventude -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: 1.9, Under 2.5: 1.95 | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 64% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Juventude 15% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Juventude at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Juventude to win on the moneyline with a somewhat cautious approach on under 2.5 goals due to moderate scoring trends.
Predicted Score: 1-0