Match Analysis: Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs Rider Broncs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-05
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Jersey Mikeβs Arena, Piscataway, NJ
Game Overview
Rutgers Scarlet Knights host Rider Broncs in an out-of-conference matchup. Rutgers, a Big Ten team with a strong home advantage and physical style, are heavy favorites. Rider, a mid-major team, struggled offensively and defensively last season and recently lost their opener by a large margin.
Key Factors to Consider
- Rutgers demonstrated a balanced offense with 77 points per game last season but struggled defensively, ranked 319th nationally. Rider averaged 67 points on offense and allowed 71.8 points, ranking lower in efficiency overall. Rutgers lost key offensive talents but return experienced players and emphasize defense, while Rider seeks to recover from a heavy opening loss.
- Rutgers dominated the last meeting 76-46 showing clear superiority. Rutgers have a 4-1 ATS record against Rider in recent meetings, suggesting matchup advantage.
- No major injury reports affecting either side reported ahead of the game.
- Rutgers plays at home with strong crowd support. The Big Ten vs mid-major quality gap plays a significant role. Riderβs recent heavy loss could impact morale, while Rutgers aims to establish their seasonβs defensive identity.
- Rutgers seeks to establish early season dominance after offseason roster changes, motivated to defend home court aggressively. Rider, as underdogs, may be motivated to cover the spread but face a tough challenge physically and skill-wise.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rutgers: -4500, Rider: +1600 | Rutgers | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Rutgers -20.5: -110, Rider +20.5: -110 | Rutgers -20.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over 142.5: -108, Under 142.5: -112 | Over 142.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rutgers Scarlet Knights -13% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 142.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 142.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rutgers to win outright (Moneyline) with a cover on the -20.5 spread and expect the total points to go Over 142.5.
Predicted Score: Rutgers 85 – Rider 62