Match Analysis: Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: Wednesday, November 5, 2025
- Time: 3:10 AM UTC
- Location: Moda Center, Portland, Oregon
Game Overview
The Oklahoma City Thunder (8-0) face the Portland Trail Blazers (4-3) in Portland, with the Thunder riding an eight-game winning streak and coming off four consecutive road victories. The Thunder are favored by 5.5 points, and the over/under is set at 229.5. Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring games, with the Thunder and Blazers each seeing over the total in five of their last seven matchups. The game is expected to be fast-paced, with strong offensive performances from both sides.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Thunder are undefeated (8-0) and have won four straight on the road, demonstrating strong consistency and resilience. Their offense is led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who is averaging over 30 points per game. The Trail Blazers are 4-3, with a solid home record and a recent loss to the Lakers. They have shown the ability to score, with Deni Avdija and Shaedon Sharpe leading their attack. Both teams have gone over the total in five of their last seven games, indicating a high-scoring trend.
- The Thunder have dominated recent matchups, winning the last four games against the Blazers by an average margin of 15 points. The Blazers have struggled to keep up with the Thunder's pace and offensive firepower in these meetings.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either team, with both squads expected to field their full lineups. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Deni Avdija are both healthy and likely to play major roles.
- The game is being played at Moda Center, giving the Blazers a home-court advantage. However, the Thunder have shown they can win on the road, and the Blazers have not been invincible at home this season. The pace of play and officiating could influence the final score, as both teams are prone to high-scoring games.
- The Thunder are motivated to extend their winning streak and prove their dominance on the road. The Blazers are looking to bounce back from a recent loss and show they can compete with the league's best teams.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oklahoma City Thunder: -218, Portland Trail Blazers: 180 | Oklahoma City Thunder | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Oklahoma City Thunder: -5.5 -108, Portland Trail Blazers: 5.5 -112 | Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 229.5 -108, Under: 229.5 -112 | Over 229.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oklahoma City Thunder -20% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 229.5 16% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 229.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Thunder are favored to win, but the Blazers are expected to keep the game close. The Thunder's offensive firepower and recent form give them the edge, but the Blazers' home advantage and scoring ability make them a dangerous opponent. The game is likely to be high-scoring, with both teams pushing the pace.
Predicted Score: Portland Trail Blazers 118, Oklahoma City Thunder 120
