Match Analysis: Detroit Pistons vs Utah Jazz – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-06
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Game Overview
The Detroit Pistons will host the Utah Jazz in an NBA regular season matchup. Historically, Utah dominates the head-to-head with 72 wins to Detroit's 38 over 110 games, including recent seasons where Utah has been generally stronger and more consistent. Detroit has struggled lately, losing their last five games, whereas Utah has a better recent performance though with defensive vulnerabilities.
Key Factors to Consider
- Detroit Pistons have lost their last 5 games, averaging 105.6 points while conceding 105.0. Utah Jazz have won 4 of their last 5 games, scoring about 119 points per game but conceding approximately 135 points, signaling defensive issues. Overall, Utah performs better offensively, but Detroit has occasionally prevailed in scoring contests.
- Utah Jazz leads the overall series 72-38. In the last 2 meetings (2024-25 season), the record is tied 1-1, including a recent decisive Pistons win (134-106) on March 3, 2025. Historically, Jazz have a strong advantage especially at Detroitβs home arena, winning 7 of 8 recent games there.
- No specific injury data is available from the provided sources.
- Game at Detroitβs home court (Little Caesars Arena) may provide some home advantage. Utah has shown defensive lapses, conceding high points recently that could affect their play strategy.
- Detroit Pistons are desperate to end their losing streak at home against a strong opponent, which may boost their intensity. Utah Jazz aims to assert dominance on the road and maintain recent winning momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Detroit Pistons: -470, Utah Jazz: 360 | Utah Jazz win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Detroit Pistons: -10.5 (-110), Utah Jazz: +10.5 (-110) | Utah Jazz +10.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 230.5: -115, Under 230.5: -105 | Over 230.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Detroit Pistons 222% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 230.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Detroit Pistons at 222% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 61.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Utah Jazz is favored to win due to superior head-to-head performance and recent form, but Detroitβs home advantage and desperation for a win may keep the game competitive. Expect a Utah victory by a margin around 10 points.
Predicted Score: Detroit Pistons 112 – 122 Utah Jazz