Match Analysis: FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-23
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, USA

Game Overview

The MLS regular season match between FC Cincinnati and New York City FC is set to be a competitive fixture featuring two squads with contrasting positions in the Eastern Conference. FC Cincinnati leads with a strong home record and 52 points, while New York City FC, currently 41 points, has shown resilience with recent road wins. The matchup is notable for a tight historical rivalry and recent closely contested games.

Key Factors to Consider

• FC Cincinnati (16-4-7) have demonstrated solid form at home, maintaining top position in the Eastern Conference. New York City FC (12-5-8) have been effective on the road recently, winning two and drawing one of their last three away MLS games, showcasing strong fightback capabilities and resilience under coach Pascal Jansen.
• New York City FC holds a slight edge in the head-to-head record with nine wins to Cincinnati's six. Recent encounters have been low scoring; notably, only one goal was scored in their last two meetings. However, previous encounters featured goal-heavy matches, including an eight-goal thriller in Cincinnati's stadium.
• Latest reports do not specify key injuries directly impacting this match for either side. New York City FC recently acquired defender Raul Gustavo, suggesting defensive reinforcement. Both teams appear mostly fit ahead of the kickoff.
• Playing at Cincinnati’s TQL Stadium confers home advantage. The match kicks off late evening UTC, which translates to typical local prime time for attendance and player readiness. No adverse weather or external disruptions cited.
• New York City FC aims to consolidate their playoff position by challenging the Eastern Conference leader on the road. Their recent record of comeback wins reflects high motivation and mental strength. FC Cincinnati seeks to maintain their lead atop the conference standings with a home victory.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

A closely fought contest is expected with FC Cincinnati marginally favored due to home advantage and stronger recent form. New York City FC's resilience suggests a potential draw or narrow loss. The game outcome is likely decided by a single goal margin.

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: New York City FC vs Nashville SC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-17
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Yankee Stadium

Game Overview

This MLS match is between New York City FC hosting Nashville SC at Yankee Stadium. Both teams have been closely matched historically. New York City FC enters in better recent form, while Nashville SC has struggled to win recently. The match carries midfield and forward battles with key players like Adrian Alonso Martínez Batista for NYCFC and Sam Surridge for Nashville influencing outcomes.

Key Factors to Consider

• New York City FC has the better recent performance with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 5 matches, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Nashville SC has not won in their last 5 with 2 draws and 3 losses, also averaging 2.2 goals scored but conceding 1.4 per match.
• Historically, in 8 meetings since 2019, both teams have won 3 games each with 2 draws. Recent direct encounters favor Nashville 3 wins to NYCFC's 2, with 2 draws. Goals scored in H2H are even at about 10 each for both teams overall.
• For New York City FC, goalkeeper Matthew Freese is injured. Nashville SC has the injured winger Jacob Shaffelburg unavailable. Both teams have relatively stable lineups aside from these absences.
• The match is played at Yankee Stadium, providing a home advantage for New York City FC. Weather and pitch conditions are expected normal as per mid-August in New York.
• New York City FC, currently in better form and at home, likely has higher motivation to secure 3 points and improve league standings. Nashville SC, struggling for wins, will be motivated to halt their poor run and gain away points.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

New York City FC is favored to win due to better recent form, home advantage, and balanced head-to-head record. Nashville SC's win probability is lower, but a draw is plausible given their defensive improvements.

Predicted Score: 2-1

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Match Analysis: FC Dallas vs New York City FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-25
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Toyota Stadium, Frisco, Texas

Game Overview

FC Dallas hosts New York City FC in a mid-season MLS clash. Dallas is coming off an emphatic 3-0 win over St. Louis CITY SC, boosting their confidence, while NYCFC is ending a grueling road stretch and recently secured a dramatic late win in Orlando followed by a draw in Kansas City. Both teams have shown resilience, but Dallas's recent home form and NYCFC's road fatigue could be decisive factors.

Key Factors to Consider

• FC Dallas recently secured a convincing 3-0 home win, with Petar Musa in goal-scoring form (11 goals this season). NYCFC, despite a mixed road record, showed spirit with a late win in Orlando and a draw in Kansas City, indicating grit but possible fatigue[3][5]. Dallas has been inconsistent overall (6-10-7, 25 points) but is showing signs of improvement at home.
• No direct head-to-head stats provided in the search results for this specific matchup in 2025. Historical MLS data would be required for deeper trends.
• No specific injury reports found in the search results. However, there is speculation about the status of Dallas's star No. 10, Luciano Acosta, whose availability could impact the game[5].
• The match is played in Frisco, Texas, in late July—expect hot, humid conditions typical for Texas summers, which could affect stamina and pacing. No significant external disruptions (e.g., weather events, protests) reported.
• Dallas is buoyed by a big home win and seeks to build momentum. NYCFC is at the end of a long road trip and may be fatigued, but their recent results suggest they are fighting hard for points on the road[5].

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

FC Dallas holds a slight edge at home, especially with momentum from a big win and NYCFC's travel fatigue. Expect a competitive, closely contested match, but Dallas is more likely to edge it, especially if Acosta is fit and Musa continues his scoring form.

Predicted Score: FC Dallas 1–0 New York City FC

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Match Analysis: Sporting Kansas City vs New York City FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: July 19, 2025
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Children's Mercy Park

Game Overview

This matchup pits Sporting Kansas City against New York City FC in a critical MLS regular season game. Sporting Kansas City has been rebuilding after a challenging start to the season, while NYCFC seeks consistency on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sporting Kansas City currently sits in 23rd place in the MLS standings, but they have shown some improvement under new leadership. NYCFC is in 11th place and has been inconsistent on the road.
• Historical data on head-to-head matches between these teams is limited but typically favors Sporting Kansas City in home games.
• No significant injuries reported for either team.
• Weather conditions in Kansas City around the match time are expected to be warm but not extreme.
• Both teams are motivated to secure points, with Sporting Kansas City looking to improve their standings and NYCFC seeking to maintain a playoff trajectory.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Kansas City is likely to win based on home field advantage and recent improvements.

Predicted Score: Sporting Kansas City 2, New York City FC 1

Match Analysis: Orlando City SC vs New York City FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-16
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Exploria Stadium, Orlando, USA

Game Overview

Orlando City SC and New York City FC meet in an Eastern Conference MLS clash at Exploria Stadium. Orlando City currently sits 6th with a 9-5-8 record, slightly ahead of NYCFC who are 7th at 9-8-4. Both teams have shown offensive capabilities, with Orlando averaging 1.82 goals per game and NYCFC 1.29. The match carries significance for playoff positioning and regional rivalry, with NYCFC unbeaten in their last 6 meetings against Orlando (4W, 2D).

Key Factors to Consider

• Orlando City SC averages more shots (11.68) and shots on target (5.32) than NYCFC (9.29 shots, 4.05 on target) and has a higher goal average (1.82 vs 1.29). Their recent form includes scoring 9 goals in the last 5 matches, showing strong offensive output. NYCFC have a solid defensive record and have not lost to Orlando in recent encounters.
• In their head-to-head history, New York City FC have a slight edge with 10 wins to Orlando City's 7, and 10 draws. NYCFC is unbeaten in their last 6 matches against Orlando City (4 wins, 2 draws), indicating a psychological and tactical advantage.
• No specific injury information is available for either side ahead of the match, suggesting both teams may have their key players available.
• The match is played at Orlando City's home stadium, Exploria Stadium, which offers home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are assumed typical for mid-July in Orlando, favoring the home side accustomed to the heat and humidity.
• Both teams are vying for better playoff positioning in a tight Eastern Conference. Orlando City, slightly ahead in the standings, will be motivated to consolidate their position at home against a direct rival. NYCFC will aim to break their recent poor run against Orlando to boost confidence and points.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Given Orlando City's home advantage, better offensive metrics, and standings position, they are slightly favored to win. However, NYCFC's strong head-to-head record and resilience make a draw a realistic outcome as well.

Predicted Score: 2-1

Match Analysis: New York City FC vs Toronto FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-03
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, USA

Game Overview

The MLS clash between New York City FC and Toronto FC is set at Yankee Stadium. NYCFC currently ranks 9th in the league, showing mixed form with struggles on the road but reasonable home performance. Toronto FC sits lower in 13th place but is coming into the match after a recent win that could boost their confidence. Historically, the teams have met once this season, with NYCFC securing an away win. The match is crucial for NYCFC to maintain playoff hopes and for Toronto FC to improve their standing.

Key Factors to Consider

• NYCFC demonstrate inconsistency with only one road win this season, though they perform better at home. They have shown the ability to score but struggle with consistency. Toronto FC has only four wins this season but arrives with momentum from their latest victory. Both teams have struggled in different areas, making this a potentially close contest.
• This season, the teams have met once with New York City FC winning on the road. Historical data indicates NYCFC may have a slight edge, especially playing at home in this fixture.
• No specific injury updates are available for either team from the current data, suggesting both squads may be near full strength for this match.
• The match being played at Yankee Stadium should favor New York City FC due to home advantage. The timing just before Independence Day may add motivation for NYCFC. Additionally, Toronto FC’s recent win could provide them with confidence despite their overall lower league position.
• NYCFC needs this win to solidify their position and boost morale, especially after inconsistent performances. Toronto FC aims to capitalize on their recent win to climb out of the lower league ranks, adding competitive intensity to the match.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

New York City FC is favored to win due to home advantage, better league position, and past results against Toronto FC. However, Toronto's recent win creates some uncertainty, suggesting a competitive encounter.

Predicted Score: 2-1

Match Analysis: CF Montreal vs New York City FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-28
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Saputo Stadium, Montreal, Canada

Game Overview

CF Montréal and New York City FC meet in an MLS regular season fixture at Saputo Stadium. CF Montréal currently ranks 15th in the league, struggling with consistency, while New York City FC holds a stronger 7th position, reflecting better form and competitive momentum this season.

Key Factors to Consider

• CF Montréal has shown inconsistent results this season with a lower league standing (15th), indicating challenges in both attack and defense. New York City FC, positioned 7th, have displayed superior performances, tighter defense, and a more effective attack, making them favorites in this matchup.
• This season, CF Montréal and New York City FC have faced each other once, with New York City FC having a psychological and form advantage due to their higher league position and better overall record.
• No significant injury reports publicly available at this time for either team, suggesting both sides will likely field their strongest lineups.
• The game is played at Saputo Stadium in Montreal, giving CF Montréal home advantage. However, New York City FC's better league standing and form may offset this factor. Weather and pitch conditions are not expected to significantly impact the match.
• New York City FC is motivated to consolidate their top-10 standing to push for playoff contention, while CF Montréal seek points to climb from the lower end of the table, adding competitive edge for both teams.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

New York City FC are favored to win the match due to superior form, league standing, and recent head-to-head results, despite CF Montréal's home advantage. A competitive match with a likely narrow victory for NYCFC is expected.

Predicted Score: CF Montréal 1 – 2 New York City FC

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