Match Analysis: CF Montreal vs New York City FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-28
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Saputo Stadium, Montreal, Canada
Game Overview
CF Montréal and New York City FC meet in an MLS regular season fixture at Saputo Stadium. CF Montréal currently ranks 15th in the league, struggling with consistency, while New York City FC holds a stronger 7th position, reflecting better form and competitive momentum this season.
Key Factors to Consider
- CF Montréal has shown inconsistent results this season with a lower league standing (15th), indicating challenges in both attack and defense. New York City FC, positioned 7th, have displayed superior performances, tighter defense, and a more effective attack, making them favorites in this matchup.
- This season, CF Montréal and New York City FC have faced each other once, with New York City FC having a psychological and form advantage due to their higher league position and better overall record.
- No significant injury reports publicly available at this time for either team, suggesting both sides will likely field their strongest lineups.
- The game is played at Saputo Stadium in Montreal, giving CF Montréal home advantage. However, New York City FC's better league standing and form may offset this factor. Weather and pitch conditions are not expected to significantly impact the match.
- New York City FC is motivated to consolidate their top-10 standing to push for playoff contention, while CF Montréal seek points to climb from the lower end of the table, adding competitive edge for both teams.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | CF Montréal: 1.85, New York City FC: 1.45, Draw: 2.45 | New York City FC to win | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | CF Montréal: 1.08, New York City FC: 1.28 | New York City FC to cover the spread (0) | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: 1.2, Under 2.5: 1 | Under 2.5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | New York City FC 35% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 20% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: New York City FC at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New York City FC are favored to win the match due to superior form, league standing, and recent head-to-head results, despite CF Montréal's home advantage. A competitive match with a likely narrow victory for NYCFC is expected.
Predicted Score: CF Montréal 1 – 2 New York City FC