Match Analysis: San Jose Earthquakes vs LA Galaxy – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-29
- Time: 2:30 AM UTC
- Location: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, USA
Game Overview
The upcoming MLS match between San Jose Earthquakes and LA Galaxy is set at Levi's Stadium, with the Earthquakes currently ranked 8th and LA Galaxy 15th in the league standings. The rivalry, known as the California ClΓ‘sico, is historically competitive with LA Galaxy leading the all-time series but San Jose recently won the latest meeting on May 28, 2025, ending Galaxy's eight-game unbeaten streak against them.
Key Factors to Consider
- San Jose Earthquakes are performing solidly this season, currently in 8th place, showing better form compared to LA Galaxy who stand at 15th. San Jose holds the psychological edge from their recent 1-0 victory over LA Galaxy, breaking their unbeaten run since 2022.
- Historically, LA Galaxy leads the all-time series 50-34-19, including a strong home record. However, recent form favors San Jose, which won the last encounter and ended Galaxy's 7 wins and 1 draw streak since 2022.
- No specific injury information available from the provided data. Monitoring lineups closer to match time is advisable.
- The match being held at Levi's Stadium, San Jose's home venue, provides a home advantage. Weather and fan support could influence the game's dynamics.
- San Jose Earthquakes are motivated by their recent success against LA Galaxy and their higher league standing, pushing them to consolidate their position. LA Galaxy, struggling lower in the table, will seek to reverse their fortunes and regain momentum in this rivalry.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | LA_Galaxy: 235, San_Jose_Earthquakes: 100, Draw: 290 | San Jose Earthquakes win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | LA_Galaxy_-0.5: -122, San_Jose_Earthquakes_+50: 102 | San Jose Earthquakes +0.5 (draw or win) | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over_3.25: -122, Under_3.25: 102 | Over 3.25 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Jose Earthquakes 24% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3.25 0% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: San Jose Earthquakes at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given San Jose's home advantage, better current form, and recent victory over LA Galaxy breaking a long unbeaten streak, the prediction favors San Jose Earthquakes to win or at least draw.
Predicted Score: San Jose Earthquakes 3 – 2 LA Galaxy