Match Analysis: Rockford IceHogs vs Manitoba Moose – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Home for Rockford IceHogs (likely Rockford, IL, USA)
Game Overview
Rockford IceHogs host the Manitoba Moose in a closely matched AHL Central Division showdown where both teams have near .500 records, with Rockford at 4-2-1-1 and Manitoba at 4-4-0-0. Recent form, home advantage, and defensive solidity give Rockford a slight edge.
Key Factors to Consider
- Rockford IceHogs have shown stronger recent form with a more consistent defense and better home results. Manitoba Moose are more inconsistent on the road with a .500 overall record.
- Historically, encounters between Rockford and Manitoba have been competitive with small margins; recent H2H shows balanced scoring but Rockford has slight advantage when at home.
- No significant injuries reported for either team affecting key players or goaltenders.
- No notable external factors such as scheduling congestion or travel fatigue; game is midweek, home team likely fresher.
- Both teams are vying for playoff positioning in the Central Division, but Rockford slightly more motivated due to stronger recent home performances and desire to capitalize on home ice.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Manitoba Moose: +110, Rockford IceHogs: -145 | Rockford IceHogs | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Manitoba Moose +1.5: -240, Rockford IceHogs -1.5: +180 | Rockford IceHogs -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5: +100, Under 5.5: -130 | Under 5.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rockford IceHogs 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rockford IceHogs to win outright on the moneyline; expect a tightly contested game with a moderate total goals count, likely under or near 5.5 goals.
Predicted Score: Rockford IceHogs 3 – 2 Manitoba Moose