Match Analysis: Milwaukee Admirals vs Manitoba Moose – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: UW–Milwaukee Panther Arena
Game Overview
The Milwaukee Admirals host the Manitoba Moose in a Central Division matchup of the AHL. Both teams are mid-table contenders, with the Admirals showing a slight edge in recent form and home advantage. The game is expected to be competitive, with both teams relying on balanced scoring and solid goaltending.
Key Factors to Consider
- Milwaukee has been strong at home this season, winning 60% of their home games. They have a balanced offense and a reliable defense, with a top-5 save percentage in the AHL. Manitoba has been inconsistent on the road, winning only 40% of away games, but they have shown resilience in close contests and have a solid power play.
- In the last five meetings, Milwaukee holds a 3-2 edge. The most recent matchup in February 2025 ended in a 2-2 tie. Both teams have traded wins and losses, with no clear dominance. The last two games at Milwaukee have been decided by one goal.
- No major injuries reported for either team. Both rosters are at full strength, with key players available for the matchup.
- The game is being played in Milwaukee, giving the Admirals a home-ice advantage. The weather is mild, with no travel disruptions expected. The crowd is expected to be supportive, which could boost Milwaukee's performance.
- Both teams are fighting for playoff positioning. Milwaukee is looking to solidify their spot in the top half of the division, while Manitoba is aiming to close the gap on the leaders. The stakes are high, and both teams are motivated to win.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Manitoba Moose: 145, Milwaukee Admirals: -190 | Milwaukee Admirals | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Manitoba Moose: 1.5 -190, Milwaukee Admirals: -1.5 145 | Milwaukee Admirals -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 5.5 105, Under: 5.5 -135 | Under 5.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Milwaukee Admirals -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 22% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Milwaukee Admirals are favored to win this game due to their strong home record and recent form. However, Manitoba has shown the ability to compete in close games, and a tight contest is expected. The game is likely to be decided by a single goal.
Predicted Score: 2-1