Match Analysis: Rochester Americans vs W-B/Scranton Penguins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-07
- Time: 12:05 AM UTC
- Location: Blue Cross Arena, Rochester, NY
Game Overview
The Rochester Americans host the Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins in a pivotal AHL matchup. Both teams are coming off strong performances, with Rochester riding a wave of momentum after a recent 7-4 win over Utica and a 4-2 victory against Cleveland. The Penguins are also competitive, but Rochester's home advantage and recent dominance in head-to-head matchups make this a compelling contest.
Key Factors to Consider
- Rochester Americans have been in excellent form, winning 26 of their last 35 games against Utica and scoring five or more goals in 10 of those matchups. Their offense is balanced, with seven different goal-scorers in their last game, and their defense has shown resilience. The Penguins have had mixed results, but remain a solid team with playoff aspirations.
- Rochester holds a significant edge in recent head-to-head matchups, with a 26-7-1-1 record in the last 35 games against Utica and a strong home record. Their ability to score consistently and defend well gives them an advantage over the Penguins.
- No major injuries reported for either team. Both squads are expected to field their full lineups, ensuring a competitive and high-intensity game.
- Rochester's home crowd will be energized, especially with the team's 70th anniversary season and the game being televised locally. The Blue Cross Arena is known for its passionate fan base, which can provide an extra boost for the Americans.
- Rochester is motivated to continue their strong start to the season and build on their recent playoff success. The Penguins are looking to bounce back from recent losses and solidify their position in the standings.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rochester Americans: -120, W-B/Scranton Penguins: -110 | Rochester Americans | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Rochester Americans: -1.5 210, W-B/Scranton Penguins: 1.5 -285 | Rochester Americans -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 5.5 -115, Under: 5.5 -115 | Over 5.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rochester Americans 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 5.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 5.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rochester Americans are favored to win this game due to their recent form, strong home record, and balanced offense. The Penguins will put up a fight, but Rochester's depth and home advantage should be decisive.
Predicted Score: Rochester Americans 4 – 2 W-B/Scranton Penguins