Match Analysis: Grand Rapids Griffins vs Toronto Marlies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-14
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Van Andel Arena
Game Overview
The Grand Rapids Griffins host the Toronto Marlies at Van Andel Arena in a highly anticipated matchup. This is the second of two games between the teams this week, following a midweek school day game. The Griffins are coming off their first loss of the season in a shootout against Chicago, ending a franchise-best nine-game point streak. The Marlies are looking to capitalize on their recent momentum and break Grand Rapids' strong home record.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Griffins have started the season with an impressive 8-0-0-1 record, including a 4-0-0-1 road start, the best since 2007-08. Their last game was a 4-3 shootout loss to Chicago, where all three goals came on the power play. The Marlies have been inconsistent against Grand Rapids, with a 3-6-3-0 record in the last five years and a five-game winless streak against the Griffins dating back to 2022.
- The all-time series is 35-37-6-2 in favor of Toronto, but Grand Rapids has a 20-17-3-1 record at home. The Griffins have not beaten Toronto since November 11, 2022, in a 5-4 overtime win. In the last five years, the Griffins are 3-6-3-0 against the Marlies and have been outscored 49-35.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- The game is part of a busy schedule for both teams, with the Marlies playing their second game in three days. The Griffins are playing at home, where they have maintained an undefeated record so far this season. The venue, Van Andel Arena, is known for its strong home support.
- The Griffins are motivated to bounce back from their first loss and maintain their home dominance. The Marlies are looking to break their winless streak against Grand Rapids and improve their overall record.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Grand Rapids Griffins: -125, Toronto Marlies: -105 | Grand Rapids Griffins | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Grand Rapids Griffins: -1.5 210, Toronto Marlies: 1.5 -285 | Grand Rapids Griffins -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 5.5 100, Under: 5.5 -130 | Under 5.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Grand Rapids Griffins -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Griffins are favored to win this game due to their strong home record and recent form. The Marlies have struggled against Grand Rapids in recent years, and the Griffins' power play has been effective. However, the Marlies are capable of a strong performance, especially if they can capitalize on their opportunities.
Predicted Score: 3-2