Match Analysis: Nottingham Forest vs Malmo FF – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-27
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: City Ground, Nottingham, England

Game Overview

Nottingham Forest host Malmö FF in the UEFA Europa League league phase at City Ground, Nottingham on November 27, 2025. Nottingham Forest rank 23rd and have a relatively strong home form under manager Sean Dyche, being unbeaten in their last three home matches. Malmö FF, ranking 33rd, have struggled in recent European away fixtures, suffering heavy losses and are seeking their first win in the competition. The match carries historical weight as a repeat encounter of notable European fixtures between the two clubs.

Key Factors to Consider

• Nottingham Forest have performed better in domestic and European competitions recently, including an unbeaten home streak under Sean Dyche, and a strong Premier League showing with a recent win against Liverpool. Malmö FF have endured a difficult European campaign with heavy away defeats (5-0 and 3-0) and are coming off a modest 2-1 home win in Sweden after a disappointing domestic season finish.
• Historically, Malmö FF have played English opposition 11 times with nine defeats and only one win against Nottingham Forest in UEFA competition (a 2-1 home win in 1995). This will be a rare European meeting with Forest holding a superior record and strong home advantage.
• No specific injury reports were mentioned in the provided data. However, a notable event was Morgan Gibbs-White missing a first-half penalty for Forest in recent matches, indicating some pressure on key players. Current suspensions or injury updates would require live monitoring closer to match day.
• Malmö FF’s first competitive match in 18 days could affect their match fitness and sharpness negatively compared to Forest who are regularly competing in the Premier League. Weather conditions and stadium atmosphere at City Ground could favor the home team. Crowd support and travel fatigue may influence Malmö's performance.
• Forest remain in contention for last-16 qualification and are motivated to secure a win to improve their standing. Malmö FF, struggling in the league phase and with no wins so far, are highly motivated to avoid elimination but face strong opposition at an away ground.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Malmo FF: 1125, Nottingham Forest: -460, Draw: 535	Nottingham Forest win	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Malmo FF: 1.75 -110, Nottingham Forest: -1.75 -110	Nottingham Forest -1.75	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over: 3 100, Under: 3 -120	Under 3 goals	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Nottingham Forest -17%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 3 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nottingham Forest is favored to win at home due to superior recent form, historical advantage, and stronger motivation. Malmö FF may struggle with recent away form and lack of competitive matches recently. A Forest victory by a margin of 2 goals or more is probable.

Predicted Score: Nottingham Forest 2 – 0 Malmö FF

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – November 6, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Malmo FF vs. Panathinaikos FC Prediction	Malmo FF	174	52%
Ceará vs. Fortaleza Prediction	Ceará	139	48%
Nice vs. SC Freiburg Prediction	Under 2.5	-115	27%

Combined Odds: +1124 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $244.86

Match Analysis: Malmo FF vs Panathinaikos FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-06
• Time: 5:45 PM UTC
• Location: Eleda Stadion, Malmö, Sweden

Game Overview

This UEFA Europa League group stage match features Swedish side Malmo FF hosting Greek club Panathinaikos FC. Both teams come into the game with mixed recent domestic and European form, battling for critical points in the group to progress. The match is expected to be tightly contested, with defensive resilience important given the moderate recent goal outputs.

Key Factors to Consider

• Malmo FF have shown inconsistent form, including a recent 1-1 draw at Hacken and a 1-1 Europa League home draw versus Dinamo Zagreb. Their Swedish Allsvenskan results are mixed with notable losses like 1-3 vs Hammarby and 0-3 vs Plzen in Europe. Panathinaikos have also been inconsistent, suffering a 0-1 loss at Volos in the Greek Super League, but recently winning 2-0 against Asteras Tripoli and holding a 1-1 draw in European competition versus Aris Salonika. Both teams demonstrate defensive vulnerabilities but also have scoring ability in domestic leagues.
• The teams have met previously in the UEFA Europa League group phase. Historical head-to-heads indicate tight matches with low scoring, including prior draws, suggesting a close game that could hinge on minor details.
• No explicit injury data was found for key players on either side in the available sources. Therefore, line-ups should be expected near full strength barring last-minute updates.
• The match being played at Malmo's home stadium provides the home team with crowd and pitch familiarity advantage. Weather and travel demands for Panathinaikos may introduce some fatigue, impacting performance. No major external disruptions are reported.
• Malmo will be motivated to secure a home win to advance or improve their standings in the Europa League group, while Panathinaikos seek to gain points on the road to bolster their qualification chances. Both sides have strong incentives, but Malmo's home advantage slightly elevates their motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Malmo FF: 1.74, Panathinaikos FC: 1.57, Draw: 2.38	Panathinaikos win or draw	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Malmo FF: -113 at 0 spread, Panathinaikos FC: -117 at 0 spread	Panathinaikos to avoid defeat (spread 0)	★★★☆☆ 57%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -109, Under 2.5: -121	Under 2.5 goals	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Malmo FF 52%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Malmo FF at 52% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A closely fought match is expected, with Malmo FF marginally favored due to home advantage and slightly better recent European performance. The prediction leans toward a low-scoring draw or narrow Malmo win.

Predicted Score: 1-1

Match Analysis: Malmo FF vs Dinamo Zagreb – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-23
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Eleda Stadium, Malmo, Sweden

Game Overview

The UEFA Europa League match between Malmo FF and Dinamo Zagreb features a top-of-the-table Croatian side, Dinamo Zagreb, visiting Malmo in Sweden. Dinamo Zagreb leads the group with two straight wins and strong domestic form, while Malmo FF is yet to earn points in the campaign and is struggling with recent poor results.

Key Factors to Consider

• Dinamo Zagreb has won their first two Europa League games with solid attacking performances but have conceded goals in their last five matches. They are top in the Croatian league with 22 points from 10 matches. Malmo FF, ranked 36th in UEFA club rankings, are struggling with two consecutive losses in the Europa League and inconsistent domestic form, winning only two of their last six matches across all competitions.
• Historically, the two clubs have met four times, with Malmo FF winning three fixtures, although their last encounters were in 2011 Champions League qualifiers where Dinamo won the first leg 4-1 but lost the return leg 2-0.
• No specific injury updates are available from the current data sources provided.
• The match is played at Malmo's home ground, the Eleda Stadium, which may provide some home advantage despite Malmo's poor form. Weather or other external conditions are not reported to have significant impact.
• Dinamo Zagreb has strong motivation to maintain their perfect campaign and top spot in the group, while Malmo FF is under pressure to gain their first Europa League points and improve their standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Dinamo Zagreb: 134, Malmo FF: 190, Draw: 240	Dinamo Zagreb to win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Dinamo Zagreb -0.25: 100, Malmo FF +25: -130	Dinamo Zagreb -0.25	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -108, Under 2.5: -122	Under 2.5 goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Dinamo Zagreb 17%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Dinamo Zagreb at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dinamo Zagreb is likely to win or at least avoid defeat given their superior recent form, motivation, and current top position in the group. However, Malmo's home advantage and historical success against Dinamo should not be discounted, suggesting a competitive match potentially decided by a narrow margin.

Predicted Score: 1-2

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Lille vs. PAOK Prediction	Lille Win	-180	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Malmo FF vs. Dinamo Zagreb Prediction	Dinamo Zagreb -0.25	100	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Midtjylland Prediction	FC Midtjylland -0.25	-120	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +470

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $114.07

Match Analysis: Viktoria Plzeň vs Malmo FF – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-02
• Time: 4:45 PM UTC
• Location: Doosan Aréna, Plzeň

Game Overview

The UEFA Europa League match between Viktoria Plzeň and Malmö FF is scheduled for October 2, 2025, at the Doosan Aréna in Plzeň. Viktoria Plzeň comes in with a mixed recent form, including draws and losses in European competition, while Malmö FF shows competitive resilience with some wins and draws domestically and in Europa League qualifiers. This is the first-ever meeting between these two sides in European competition, adding an element of uncertainty to the matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

• Viktoria Plzeň has demonstrated inconsistency lately, with recent results including a 1-1 draw against Ferencváros and a strong 2-1 home win over Rangers in Champions League qualifying before their exit. Malmö FF had a close 1-2 Europa League defeat against Ludogorets, but also a narrow 3-2 home win in the Swedish league and positive outcomes in recent qualifying rounds. Both sides show the ability to score goals, but defensive vulnerabilities exist on both ends.
• There is no previous head-to-head record between Viktoria Plzeň and Malmö FF, making this match their first encounter at this level. This lack of historical data increases variability and makes form and current season indicators more significant.
• There are no significant publicly reported injury concerns for either Viktoria Plzeň or Malmö FF ahead of the match, suggesting both squads will likely field close to full-strength lineups.
• The match is hosted at Viktoria Plzeň’s home ground, Doosan Aréna, which may provide a home advantage. Weather and travel conditions are not noted as impacting factors. Viktoria Plzeň has the motivation to secure group stage points at home, while Malmö FF is aiming to establish their presence in the group phase after recent Europa League qualifying progress.
• Both teams have clear motivation to perform well in the Europa League group stage. Viktoria Plzeň will want to capitalize on home advantage and improve their European standing following mixed results. Malmö FF seeks to build on their recent form to secure points away, which makes them determined to take advantage despite being the underdog per bookmaker odds.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Viktoria Plzeň: -115, Malmo FF: 295, Draw: 265	Malmo FF to win	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Viktoria Plzeň -0.5: -120, Malmo FF +50: -110	Malmo FF +0.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -128, Under 2.5: -102	Over 2.5 goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Viktoria Plzeň 98%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Viktoria Plzeň at 98% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Malmö FF is predicted to win this match with a value bet opportunity given their resilience, recent form, and likelihood to capitalize on defensive lapses against Viktoria Plzeň. The game should also see goals over 2.5, reflecting both teams’ attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities.

Predicted Score: 1-2

Match Analysis: Malmo FF vs PFC Ludogorets Razgrad – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-24
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Eleda Stadium, Malmo, Sweden

Game Overview

The UEFA Europa League fixture between Malmö FF and PFC Ludogorets Razgrad is set for September 24, 2025, at Malmö's home ground. Malmö FF currently rank 20th in the competition standings, just below Ludogorets at 18th. Both sides aim to improve their group stage standings with a tightly contested match expected at Eleda Stadium. Historical head-to-head data and recent form suggest a close encounter with balanced chances for both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

• Malmö FF have shown solid home form in European competition but have mixed recent results in domestic competitions. Ludogorets bring strong away resilience and experience in UEFA Europa League group stages. Both teams demonstrate capable attacking and defensive statistics, making the match potentially competitive and tactical.
• Previous UEFA competitions and friendlies show an even contest between Malmö FF and Ludogorets, with no clear dominance for either side. Historical results have been tight, often decided by narrow margins.
• No significant injury reports are currently available for either team affecting key starters, implying both squads should be near full strength for the fixture.
• Playing at Eleda Stadium gives Malmö a home advantage, including familiarity with conditions and supportive crowd presence, which could influence the match dynamic.
• Both teams are motivated to secure points early in the group stage to improve chances of advancing, with Ludogorets looking to capitalize on their slightly higher UEFA Europa League ranking and Malmö aiming to leverage home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Malmo FF: -139, PFC Ludogorets Razgrad: 370, Draw: 283	Malmo FF to win	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Malmo FF -0.5: -138, PFC Ludogorets +50: 108	Malmo FF -0.5	★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -114, Under 2.5: -116	Under 2.5 goals	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Malmo FF 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given home advantage, balanced historical performance, and current odds favoring Malmö FF, the prediction leans towards a Malmö FF win but acknowledges a high probability of a close result with potential for a draw.

Predicted Score: 2-1