Match Analysis: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Midtjylland – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-23
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Gradski Stadion, Backa Topola, Serbia
Game Overview
The UEFA Europa League match between Maccabi Tel Aviv and FC Midtjylland will take place at Gradski Stadion, Serbia. Maccabi Tel Aviv currently ranks 30th overall, showing mixed form with a recent home loss and draws, while Midtjylland ranks 2nd, showing stronger form with dominant victories in domestic and Europa League matches.
Key Factors to Consider
- Maccabi Tel Aviv has a moderate Europa League record (0.5 goals per match, 1.5 conceded), with some home wins but a recent 1-3 loss at home. Midtjylland demonstrates starke offensive power, recent 5-1 domestic win and solid Europa League scoring (3-2 win over Nottingham Forest and 2-0 win over Sturm Graz). Overall, Midtjylland's form is superior heading into this game.
- Limited direct encounters data, but current match listed as a key fixture. Historical H2H data is sparse; recent competitive context points to Midtjylland as form and ranking favorites.
- No specific injury data found for either team from available sources, implying both squads likely near full strength for this fixture.
- Match played on neutral ground in Serbia, removing home advantage but also limiting travel fatigue. Weather and pitch conditions not specified but presumably neutral.
- Midtjylland holding 2nd place in the group likely motivated to secure points and advance. Maccabi Tel Aviv, ranked 30th, aims to leverage home-ground stature despite the neutral field and improve Europa League standing.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | FC Midtjylland: 1.14, Maccabi Tel Aviv: 2.15, Draw: 2.55 | FC Midtjylland win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | FC Midtjylland: -0.25 -120, Maccabi Tel Aviv: +25 -110 | FC Midtjylland -0.25 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75: -102, Under 2.75: -128 | Under 2.75 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | FC Midtjylland 18% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.75 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: FC Midtjylland at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
FC Midtjylland is favored to win given better form, squad strength, and league standing. Expect a competitive match but with Midtjylland edging victory.
Predicted Score: 1-0 FC Midtjylland