Match Analysis: Lille vs PAOK – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-23
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille, France
Game Overview
This UEFA Europa League match sees Lille, currently unbeaten in the competition, hosting PAOK, which is seeking to improve its standings. Lille has a strong home record and is favored to win. However, PAOK has historically performed well against European opponents and could pose a challenge.
Key Factors to Consider
- Lille is performing well in the Europa League with a 100% record, while PAOK has struggled with just one point from two matches.
- This is the first-ever meeting between Lille and PAOK at Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
- No significant injuries reported for either team.
- Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the match. Lille benefits from home advantage.
- Lille is highly motivated to maintain its perfect record, while PAOK needs to improve its chances of advancing in the competition.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lille: -180, PAOK: 460, Draw: 315 | Lille | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Lille: -1 -108, PAOK: 1 -122 | Lille | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75: -102, Under 2.75: -128 | Under | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lille -14% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.75 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Lille is expected to win, given its strong form and home advantage. PAOK might struggle to create scoring opportunities.
Predicted Score: Lille 1-0 PAOK