The 2025-26 Premier League season opener features Liverpool hosting Bournemouth at Anfield. Liverpool, recovering from a recent Community Shield defeat, seek a strong start to defend their title, while Bournemouth aim to build on a surprising previous season where they showed strong resilience despite a rebuilt defense.
Key Factors to Consider
Liverpool have a notable record of not losing on season openers since 2012-13, including comfortable recent wins and a strong attacking capability as shown by high-scoring past meetings against Bournemouth. Bournemouth finished the prior season with a club-high Premier League points tally and their best defensive record yet, but have lost key defensive players and had mixed pre-season results with no recent wins in friendlies.
Historically, Liverpool have dominated Bournemouth at Anfield, where Bournemouth have never won, collecting just one point from 24 available in Premier League meetings there. Recent encounters have been high-scoring, with 13 goals across the last four league meetings. Liverpoolβs home advantage and past dominance provide a critical edge.
Liverpool are fielding new signings such as Hugo Ekitike, Florian Wirtz, Jeremie Frimpong, and Milos Kerkez (facing his former club) who are expected to make Premier League debuts. Bournemouth's defensive line is weakened from the departure of key defenders including Kepa Arrizabalaga and Dean Huijsen, impacting their defensive stability.
The match at Anfield will have strong fan support for Liverpool, boosting their motivation. The Community Shield loss may add pressure but also motivation for Liverpool to claim a winning start. Bournemouthβs lack of recent pre-season wins and defensive player turnover might negatively affect their match fitness and cohesion.
Liverpool aims to make a statement by bouncing back from their recent Community Shield loss and continue their long unbeaten streak in opening games. Bournemouth is motivated to maintain their unbeaten run on opening days (seven matches unbeaten previously), but face a difficult challenge overcoming historical Anfield form and squad changes.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Bournemouth: 7.85, Liverpool: -3.5, Draw: 5.3
Liverpool win
β β β β β 75%
Spread
Bournemouth: 1.75 -112, Liverpool: -1.75 -104
Liverpool -1.75
β β β β β 70%
Over/under
over: 3.5 -108, under: 3.5 -108
Over 3.5 goals
β β β ββ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Liverpool -13%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 3.5 16%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Liverpool is favored to win with a strong attack and home advantage, though Bournemouth could challenge given their recent form and fight, leading to a possible high-scoring encounter.
Liverpool, placed 1st in the Premier League with 83 points, host Crystal Palace, who are 12th with 52 points. This is the final league fixture of the season for both teams. Liverpool currently holds a dominant record over Palace in head-to-head encounters, and their strength at home is a key factor in this matchup. Only one meeting occurred this season in the league, with Liverpool winning 1-0 away at Selhurst Park[5][2][4].
Key Factors to Consider
Liverpool have shown strong form this season, especially at home, with only a few losses. Crystal Palace have a mixed record and are solid away from home, but their defense has vulnerabilities against top sides. Liverpoolβs attack is potent, and Palaceβs recent form is inconsistent[3][2][5].
Liverpool have won 36 of 64 meetings, Crystal Palace 15, with 13 draws (over all competitions). In Premier League only, Liverpool lead 30-9-10 (W-D-L), and have a dominant recent record with 19 wins in last 30 games[5][2][3].
No specific injury updates provided in available data. Assume both teams are at or near full strength for this key fixture.
Anfield remains a fortress for Liverpool; home advantage is significant. No major weather disruptions expected.
Liverpool aims to finish the season strongly, potentially securing a title or a celebratory home win. Crystal Palace are mid-table and may lack the same intensity, though they will want to end their campaign on a high.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Crystal Palace: 510, Liverpool: -255, Draw: 430
Liverpool win
β β β β β 80%
Spread
Crystal Palace: 1.5 -127, Liverpool: -1.5 -104
Liverpool -1.5
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over: 3.5 -120, Under: 3.5 -111
Under 3.5
β β β ββ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Liverpool -3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 3.5 5%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Liverpool are heavy favorites to win at home given their superior league position, head-to-head superiority, and strong home form. Crystal Palace have a puncherβs chance, but recent trends and motivation strongly favor Liverpool[5][2][3].
Brighton & Hove Albion hosts Liverpool in a Premier League match on May 19, 2025. Brighton has received boosts with Lewis Dunk and Joao Pedro returning for the match, while Liverpool looks to maintain their form as Premier League champions.
Key Factors to Consider
Liverpool has been stable and intense throughout the season, impressing with their adaptability. Brighton, with key players returning, is looking to end the season on a high note.
Historical data shows that Liverpool often performs well against Brighton, but recent form can influence the outcome.
Brighton has key players back, including Lewis Dunk and Joao Pedro, while the status of Georginio Rutter is uncertain.
The match is crucial for both teams in terms of ending the season with momentum, though Liverpool's championship status might affect their intensity.
Brighton is motivated to end the season strongly, while Liverpool, as champions, might have less pressure.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Brighton: 155, Liverpool: 143, Draw: 275
Liverpool win
β β β ββ 55%
Spread
Brighton: 50 -185, Liverpool: -0.5 138
Liverpool to cover
β β β ββ 55%
Over/under
Over: 3.5 111, Under: 3.5 -148
Under 3.5
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Liverpool 34%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 3.5 26%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Liverpool at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Liverpool might have an edge due to their consistency throughout the season, but Brighton's recent performances and home advantage could make the match competitive.
Freshly crowned Premier League champions Liverpool visit fifth-placed Chelsea, who seek crucial points for European qualification. Liverpool secured the title last week against Tottenham, while Chelsea enters with momentum from three consecutive wins, including a 4-1 Conference League victory.
Liverpool needs one point to secure the Premier League title, facing a struggling Tottenham side with back-to-back losses. Anfield's home advantage and Liverpool's dominant season position them as heavy favorites.
Key Factors to Consider
Liverpool has demonstrated tactical discipline and squad depth under Arne Slot, while Tottenham's defensive fragility and poor away form have persisted[2][5].
Liverpool dominated Tottenham 6-3 in their previous encounter this season[5].
Tottenham's Heung-min Son (foot) is likely absent, exacerbating their attacking deficiencies. Radu Dragusin is also sidelined[2].
Anfield's high-stakes atmosphere with Liverpool on the brink of a title-clinching result[3].
Liverpool requires only a draw to win the league, while Tottenham risks falling to 17th with another loss[2][5].
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Liverpool -400 | Tottenham +790 | Draw +530
Liverpool (ML)
β β β β β 90%
Spread
Liverpool -1.5 (-151) | Tottenham +1.5 (+114)
Liverpool -1.5
β β β β β 80%
Over/under
Over 3.5 (-127) | Under 3.5 (-104)
Over 3.5
β β β β β 75%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Liverpool -6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 3.5 16%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Liverpool to win comfortably, covering the spread with a high-scoring outcome.
Leicester City sits at the bottom of the EPL table with 18 points from 32 matches, fighting relegation, while Liverpool leads the league with 76 points. Leicester has struggled all season with poor form, having scored only 27 goals and conceded 74, while Liverpool has been dominant with 23 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, boasting a +43 goal difference. Liverpool is chasing a second Premier League title, currently 13 points clear at the top. Leicester needs a win to have any survival hope, but recent form and head-to-head history heavily favor Liverpool.
Key Factors to Consider
Liverpool is in top form with 12 unbeaten EPL matches and a potent attack led by Mohamed Salah (27 goals, 18 assists) and Luis DΓaz. Leicester has won only 4 matches all season, scoring 27 goals but conceding 74, showing defensive weaknesses and a lack of offensive threat. Leicester recently ended an 8-game losing streak with a draw but remain under extreme pressure.
Liverpool has won the last six matches against Leicester, including a 3-1 win in December 2024 in the EPL. Leicester last beat Liverpool at King Power Stadium in December 2021. Liverpool has dominated these encounters historically, and Leicester have not scored at home against Liverpool since December 2021.
Leicester faces injury doubts including key forward Jamie Vardy. Liverpool has key players fit, with Trent Alexander-Arnold recently returning to training and Virgil van Dijk recently signing a contract extension, boosting defensive stability.
The match is played at Leicesterβs home King Power Stadium with mild weather (~61Β°F). Liverpool's recent contract renewals (Salah and van Dijk) boost team morale. Leicester could already be relegated depending on other match results prior to this game, which may affect motivation.
Leicester is desperate to win to maintain any slim hope of Premier League survival, making this a high-stakes game. Liverpool is motivated to secure the league title and maintain their unbeaten run at this late stage in the season.
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Liverpool 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 3.5 10%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Liverpool is strongly favored to win comfortably due to their superior form, squad strength, and recent dominance over Leicester. Leicesterβs poor season and defensive frailties make an upset unlikely, though their relegation fight could make them competitive.