Match Analysis: Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City SC - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-06
- Time: 1:30 AM UTC
- Location: Rio Tinto Stadium, Sandy, USA
Game Overview
The MLS match between Real Salt Lake and St. Louis City SC at Rio Tinto Stadium features two lower-table teams from the Western Conference. Real Salt Lake currently holds the 13th position while St. Louis City SC sits just below in 14th place. Both teams have struggled to find consistent form this season, with Real Salt Lake showing a slightly better overall performance in terms of wins and goals scored.
Key Factors to Consider
- Real Salt Lake has an inconsistent record with 5 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, scoring 19 goals and conceding 26. St. Louis City SC is also struggling with a 3-11-6 record, scoring fewer goals and conceding heavily. Real Salt Lake shows better offensive stats including more shots and passes per game, whereas St. Louis has a defensive ranking similarly low but attempts fewer tackles successfully.
- Historical head-to-head data between these two teams is limited but both have been competitive in past encounters. No clear dominance is established, which suggests a close matchup.
- No specific injury updates are noted in the available data, implying both teams might field near full-strength squads.
- Playing at home gives Real Salt Lake a significant advantage. The venue is Rio Tinto Stadium in Sandy, USA, where Real Salt Lake traditionally performs better. Weather or other external disruptions were not indicated and are presumed neutral.
- Both teams are in the lower tier of the Western Conference and eager to improve their standings. Real Salt Lake, being slightly better placed, may have more motivation to secure a win at home, while St. Louis City SC looks for an upset to climb the table.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Real Salt Lake: -135, St. Louis City SC: 330, Draw: 320 | Real Salt Lake to win | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Real Salt Lake: -0.75 -110, St. Louis City SC: +75 -110 | Real Salt Lake -0.75 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | Over: 3 -108, Under: 3 -112 | Under 3 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Real Salt Lake 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3 4% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Real Salt Lake is favored to win this match due to their home advantage, relatively better form, and offensive capabilities. A close game is expected but Real Salt Lake's edge is likely to prevail.
Predicted Score: 2-1
This Pick Releases in 253 Minutes!
Unlock NOW by Sharing This Post!