Match Analysis: Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-13
- Time: 6:11 PM UTC
- Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Game Overview
The Milwaukee Brewers and Washington Nationals are facing off with the Brewers as the home team. The Brewers won the previous game on July 12, 2025, with a close score of 6-5. Both teams showed competitive offense and pitching, with the Nationals scoring 5 runs on 11 hits and the Brewers scoring 6 runs on 9 hits. This series is a key matchup as the Brewers look to extend their home advantage and maintain momentum.
Key Factors to Consider
- Milwaukee Brewers recently won a close game 6-5 against the Nationals, showing resilience and clutch scoring late in the game. The Nationals have been competitive but are slightly underperforming overall in the season with a 37-51 record. Brewers have stronger recent form and home advantage.
- The most recent game on July 12 ended with a Brewers win 6-5. The teams are fairly evenly matched but Brewers hold a slight edge at home. Close contests suggest a tight rematch likely.
- No specific injury information available from the current data, which suggests both teams likely have their regular lineups intact.
- The game is played at American Family Field, home of the Brewers, giving them familiarity and home crowd support. Weather conditions for the game time are not reported as adverse.
- Milwaukee Brewers have motivation to capitalize on home advantage and improve their standing. Nationals are under pressure to improve their poor season record and avoid losing streak.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | milwaukee_brewers: -245, washington_nationals: 200 | Milwaukee Brewers win | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | brewers_minus_1_5: -111, nationals_plus_1_5: -108 | Brewers to cover -1.5 spread | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | over_8_5: -105, under_8_5: -115 | Over 8.5 runs | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 8.5 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Milwaukee Brewers are favored to win due to recent form, home field advantage, and morale boost from the last victory. Expect a close game but Brewers to edge out another narrow win.
Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 5 – Washington Nationals 3