Match Analysis: Fortaleza vs Ceará – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-13
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Game Overview
Fortaleza hosts Ceará in a crucial match of the Brazilian Campeonato. Fortaleza has struggled recently, failing to win in their last eight attempts and not keeping a clean sheet in seven matches. Ceará has been more successful, winning the previous three head-to-head matches against Fortaleza.
Key Factors to Consider
- Fortaleza averages 1.42 goals per match, while Ceará averages 1.47. Fortaleza hasn't won in eight attempts, while Ceará has shown strong form against them.
- In their head-to-head record, Fortaleza has won fewer matches than Ceará, with recent matches favoring Ceará.
- No significant injury updates available.
- Home advantage could be crucial, but Ceará's recent form might negate this.
- Both teams are motivated, but Ceará's success against Fortaleza could boost their confidence.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ceará: 225, Fortaleza: 135, Draw: 215 | Ceará | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Spread | Ceará +25 -118, Fortaleza -0.25 -102 | Ceará +0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
| Over/under | Over 2: -125, Under 2: 105 | Over 2 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ceará 46% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2 -6% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Ceará at 46% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ceará is favored based on recent form and head-to-head performance.
Predicted Score: Fortaleza 1 – 2 Ceará