Match Analysis: Long Beach St 49ers vs Illinois St Redbirds – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 16, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Walter Pyramid, Long Beach

Game Overview

Illinois State Redbirds (1-2) travel to Long Beach State 49ers (0-3) in a Week 2 matchup of the 2025-26 college basketball season. Illinois State enters as a significant road favorite, seeking to improve their record against a struggling Long Beach State team winless through three games.

Key Factors to Consider

• Illinois State, despite a 1-2 record, is the more complete team with superior defensive efficiency (allowing just 4.3 three-pointers per game, 13th nationally, on 22.8% shooting). Long Beach State is significantly hampered by poor shooting (24.6% from three, 331st nationally) and alarming turnover issues (23.6% turnover rate, 339th nationally). LBSU is on a 10-game straight-up losing streak with 0-3 start.
• Illinois State defeated Long Beach State 61-52 in their last meeting on November 20, 2023, when Illinois State was a 6.5-point underdog at a neutral site. Illinois State is now favored by 7.5 points as the road team, indicating improved relative strength.
• No injury information available in provided data.
• This is Long Beach State's home opener, which typically provides some motivational advantage. However, LBSU's poor shooting efficiency and turnover management suggest structural team issues that home court alone cannot overcome.
• Long Beach State will have the motivational boost of playing at home for the first time this season. Illinois State, as the road favorite, faces the challenge of maintaining focus without home court advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Illinois State will win decisively. The statistical advantages in three-point defense, shooting efficiency, and turnover management strongly favor the Redbirds. Long Beach State's 0-3 start reflects fundamental offensive limitations that Illinois State's strong defensive profile is well-suited to exploit.

Predicted Score: Illinois State 75 – Long Beach State 63

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Match Analysis: USC Trojans vs Illinois St Redbirds – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 14, 2025
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Intuit Dome, Los Angeles

Game Overview

USC enters as a dominant -2300 moneyline favorite against Illinois State in a neutral-site matchup. The Trojans are undefeated (2-0) with elite offensive efficiency (104.0 PPG on 48.6% shooting), while Illinois State is 1-1 and struggling defensively (68.5 PPG allowed). This represents a significant talent and execution gap in the early season.

Key Factors to Consider

• USC is averaging 104.0 PPG on 48.6% shooting while holding opponents to 73.5 PPG. Chad Baker-Mazara and Ezra Ausar both average 19.0 PPG and have provided consistent two-way play. Illinois State scores 72.0 PPG on 45.3% shooting and allows 68.5 PPG. Their backcourt (Ty'Reek Coleman at 13.5 PPG, Johnny Kinziger at 13.0 PPG) has provided early season stability, but defensive vulnerabilities persist, particularly when their own scoring stalls.
• No prior head-to-head history available between these programs for this season.
• No significant injuries reported for either team.
• This is a neutral-site game at Intuit Dome in Los Angeles, which favors neither team's home court but benefits USC given their local presence and familiarity with the venue. The Trojans are 2-0 ATS; Illinois State is 0-1 ATS away from home.
• USC is building momentum with dominant early-season wins and enters as overwhelming favorites seeking to extend their perfect record. Illinois State is seeking to bounce back from an away loss and prove competitive, but faces an uphill battle against a superior opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

USC will dominate this matchup both on the scoreboard and against the spread. The Trojans' depth, pace, and interior dominance will overwhelm Illinois State's limited defensive capabilities. Expect USC to control pace, score efficiently, and cruise to a comfortable double-digit victory.

Predicted Score: USC 97, Illinois State 71

Match Analysis: Illinois St Redbirds vs Cornell Big Red – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-09
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: CEFCU Arena, Normal, Illinois

Game Overview

Illinois State Redbirds face Cornell Big Red in an early season NCAA basketball match, both teams coming off 0-1 records. Illinois State is favored at home with a strong defensive reputation, while Cornell shows a potent offense but struggles defensively.

Key Factors to Consider

• Illinois State lost narrowly (72-68) against Ohio, showing solid defense but limited scoring. Cornell lost a high-scoring game (110-102) to Kent State, demonstrating excellent shooting especially from three but poor defense and turnovers.
• The last meeting was won by Illinois State 80-77 in a close contest, indicating a competitive matchup historically.
• No significant injury reports or absences affecting either team have been noted.
• Illinois State benefits from home court advantage at CEFCU Arena. Both teams are early in the season, so performance might still stabilize.
• Both teams are motivated to start the season with a win, but Illinois State has the edge playing at home and a more balanced team defense.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Illinois State to win outright (moneyline), cover the -7.5 spread, and under 165.5 total points

Predicted Score: Illinois State 78 – Cornell 68

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Match Analysis: Illinois St Redbirds vs Indiana St Sycamores – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-20
• Time: 6:30 PM UTC
• Location: Indiana State University Baseball Stadium (assumed home for Indiana St Sycamores)

Game Overview

The Illinois St Redbirds visit the Indiana St Sycamores for a competitive NCAA baseball matchup. Both teams show fluctuating performances this season. Illinois State holds a record of approximately 27-26 with notable inconsistency, reflected in a mix of wins and losses, including some heavy defeats and strong offensive showings. Indiana State’s detailed recent form is less explicitly stated but given the home advantage and previous encounters, the match is expected to be closely contested.

Key Factors to Consider

• Illinois State Redbirds have an inconsistent 2025 season with a moderate winning record but some heavy losses, such as a 17-3 defeat at Indiana State indicating vulnerability. Indiana State benefits from home field advantage and recent high-scoring victories against Illinois State, suggesting better offensive momentum.
• Recent head-to-head shows Indiana State recorded a dominant 17-3 win over Illinois State in the second game of the series, signaling a potential psychological edge and possible tactical superiority in recent meetings.
• No specific injury information is publicly available for either team ahead of the match, indicating both sides are likely close to full strength.
• Match is played at Indiana State, providing the Sycamores with home crowd support and familiarity with playing conditions. Weather conditions and other environmental factors are unknown but could influence play.
• Both teams are motivated to improve their standings late in the season. Illinois State aims to recover from recent heavy defeat, while Indiana State looks to capitalize on home advantage and continue positive momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Indiana State Sycamores are favored to win this game due to home advantage and recent dominant performance including a decisive win against Illinois State. The Redbirds will be challenged to rebound from their previous heavy loss but can keep it competitive.

Predicted Score: Indiana St Sycamores 8 – Illinois St Redbirds 5

Match Analysis: Cleveland St Vikings vs Illinois St Redbirds – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-26
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Ocean Center, Daytona Beach, Florida

Game Overview

The Cleveland State Vikings face the Illinois State Redbirds in the Purple CBI Tournament Championship. Illinois State finished 21-14 overall, while Cleveland State stands at 23-12.

Key Factors to Consider

• Illinois State boasts a strong offense, ranked 87th in efficiency, while Cleveland State relies on defense, ranking 16th. Illinois State has Chase Walker, a dominant post player, and Johnny Kinziger, a skilled shooter.
• Illinois State won the last matchup 88-77 in overtime, showcasing their offensive prowess.
• No significant injuries have been reported for either team.
• Fatigue might affect both teams, given the quick turnaround in games. Illinois State’s interior game could be a significant advantage.
• Both teams are highly motivated, competing for the tournament championship.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Illinois State is expected to win due to their strong offense and interior presence.

Predicted Score: Illinois St 74, Cleveland St 71

Match Analysis: Incarnate Word Cardinals vs Illinois St Redbirds – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-25
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Ocean Center

Game Overview

Incarnate Word and Illinois State face off in a CBI Tournament matchup. Both teams have shown recent form, with Illinois State defeating Presbyterian and Incarnate Word beating Jacksonville in their previous games.

Key Factors to Consider

• Illinois State has a strong record with a 20-14 overall performance, averaging 75.6 points per game. Incarnate Word is at 19-16, averaging 73.5 points per game, with a recent winning streak in the CBI.
• There are no recent head-to-head statistics available, but Illinois State has performed well against non-conference opponents.
• No significant injuries mentioned for either team.
• The game is being played at a neutral site, which could impact both teams' performances equally.
• Both teams are motivated to advance in the CBI Tournament, but Illinois State might have a slight edge due to their stronger non-conference performance.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Illinois State Redbirds are favored due to their stronger overall record and performance against non-conference opponents.

Predicted Score: Illinois St Redbirds 73, Incarnate Word Cardinals 70

Match Analysis: Presbyterian Blue Hose vs Illinois St Redbirds – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 23, 2025
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Ocean Center

Game Overview

Illinois State Redbirds face Presbyterian Blue Hose in a matchup where Illinois State is favored. Illinois State has a stronger shooting percentage and three-point accuracy compared to Presbyterian.

Key Factors to Consider

• Illinois State has been inconsistent recently, going 1-4 ATS in their last five games. However, they have a strong offense with a higher field goal percentage and three-point shooting accuracy compared to Presbyterian.
• There is limited recent head-to-head data available for these teams, but Illinois State's overall performance suggests an advantage.
• No significant injury reports are available for this matchup.
• The game is played at a neutral site, which could affect team dynamics and performance.
• Both teams are motivated to win, but Illinois State's stronger statistical profile might give them an edge in terms of confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Illinois State Redbirds are likely to win due to their statistical advantages.

Predicted Score: Illinois State 79.6, Presbyterian 67.8

Match Analysis: Belmont Bruins vs Illinois St Redbirds – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-07
• Time: 8:30 PM UTC
• Location: Enterprise Center

Game Overview

The Belmont Bruins and Illinois State Redbirds face off in the Missouri Valley Tournament. Both teams have shown strong performances this season, with Belmont holding a 21-10 record and Illinois State at 19-13. Recent games have been closely contested, with each team winning one of their two meetings this year.

Key Factors to Consider

• Belmont has been consistent, scoring 70 or more points in every game this calendar year. Illinois State has shown resilience, winning four of their last five games. Both teams have demonstrated the ability to perform under pressure.
• The teams split their two meetings this season, with Belmont winning in overtime at home and Illinois State winning at home. These games were highly competitive, indicating a closely matched contest.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team.
• The game is part of the Missouri Valley Tournament, which adds an element of high stakes and motivation for both teams. The neutral venue at Enterprise Center could affect team dynamics.
• Both teams are highly motivated to advance in the tournament, with each seeking to improve their postseason chances.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Belmont Bruins are slightly favored due to their consistent scoring and recent form.

Predicted Score: Belmont Bruins 82, Illinois State Redbirds 79