Match Analysis: Illinois St Redbirds vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-23
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: CEFCU Arena, Normal, IL

Game Overview

Illinois State Redbirds host Coastal Carolina Chanticleers in a non-conference NCAA basketball matchup. Both teams enter with 3-2 records, but Illinois State is favored by 9.5 points. The Redbirds have shown strong offensive production, averaging 73.3-77.2 points per game, while Coastal Carolina has played at a slightly faster pace and excels in rebounding. The total is set at 142.5 points, reflecting expectations for a competitive, high-scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

• Illinois State averages 73.3-77.2 points per game, shooting 42.4% from the field and 29-31.3% from three. They allow 76 points per game and have struggled defensively, giving up at least 80 points in two of their last three games. Coastal Carolina averages 74+ points per game, shooting 44.8% from the field, and excels in rebounding (50.5 per game). They allow only 64.8 points per game and force 10.5 turnovers per game. The Chanticleers are also strong at the free-throw line, making over 73% on the road.
• No recent head-to-head history is available for these teams in the provided sources.
• No injury reports are mentioned in the available sources.
• The game is played at CEFCU Arena, Illinois State's home court. Both teams are coming off recent wins, with Illinois State having won two straight and Coastal Carolina having won three of their last four. The pace of play is moderate, with both teams averaging around 72-73 possessions per game.
• Illinois State is motivated to extend their winning streak and prove themselves after losses to USC and Ohio. Coastal Carolina is looking to build momentum after a strong win over Western Illinois and wants to show they can compete with higher-profile teams.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Coastal Carolina is likely to cover the 9.5-point spread due to their strong rebounding, defensive efficiency, and recent form. The game is expected to be close, with both teams capable of scoring, but Illinois State's defensive vulnerabilities and Coastal Carolina's ability to control the boards and limit turnovers give the Chanticleers an edge in covering the spread. The total is likely to go under, as both teams have played at a moderate pace and Coastal Carolina's defense has been effective at limiting points.

Predicted Score: Illinois State 70, Coastal Carolina 72

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Match Analysis: Long Beach St 49ers vs Illinois St Redbirds – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 16, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Walter Pyramid, Long Beach, CA

Game Overview

The Illinois State Redbirds (1-2) travel to Long Beach to face the Long Beach State 49ers (0-3) in an NCAA Men's Basketball matchup. Illinois State enters as a significant favorite despite recent struggles, coming off an 87-67 road loss to USC. Long Beach State is winless on the season and will be playing their home opener, providing potential motivation. This matchup features a clear talent disparity with the Redbirds being favored by approximately 6.5-7.5 points across different sportsbooks.

Key Factors to Consider

• Illinois State has a 1-2 record with their only win coming before recent losses. The Redbirds are averaging 70.3 points per game with 7.3 made three-pointers, showing balanced offensive output. Ty'Reek Coleman leads the team with 14.3 points per game and 16 points in their last outing, while Johnny Kinziger contributed 15 points against USC. Long Beach State has lost all three games this season, including a 77-45 defeat to San Diego State and a 82-62 loss to Fresno State. Their most recent game saw them lose 69-66 to Pacific. Petar Majstorovic has been their leading contributor with a double-double (13 points, 10 rebounds) against San Diego State.
• Illinois State defeated Long Beach State 61-52 in their last meeting in 2023, demonstrating the Redbirds' historical dominance over the 49ers.
• No specific injury information is available in the current data.
• Long Beach State is playing their home opener, which traditionally provides an advantage and momentum boost. The Walter Pyramid's home court advantage may provide some support for the 49ers. Illinois State is playing on the road and has a 0-1 road record to start the season.
• Long Beach State will be motivated by playing at home for the first time this season after three consecutive road losses. Illinois State, despite being favored, will be looking to bounce back from their loss to USC and improve their road record. The Redbirds have won four of their last five day games against non-conference opponents, suggesting they perform well in afternoon/early evening contests.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Illinois State Redbirds are expected to win this matchup convincingly. Multiple analytical models predict an Illinois State victory, with the Redbirds covering the spread. The team's superior performance metrics, experience, and recent history against Long Beach State support this outcome. However, some analysis suggests Long Beach State may cover the spread due to home court advantage and the Redbirds' current inconsistency.

Predicted Score: Illinois State Redbirds 70, Long Beach State 49ers 65

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Match Analysis: USC Trojans vs Illinois St Redbirds – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 14, 2025
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Inglewood, CA (Neutral Site)

Game Overview

The USC Trojans, riding a perfect 2-0 start to the season with commanding home victories, face the Illinois State Redbirds (1-1) in a neutral-site matchup. USC has demonstrated superior offensive firepower, averaging 104.0 points per game on 48.6% shooting while maintaining strong defensive discipline at 73.5 points allowed. Illinois State, coming off a split of their first two games, averages 72.0 points on 45.3% shooting while allowing 68.5. The Trojans enter as heavy favorites, with oddsmakers projecting a 96% probability of a USC victory based on moneyline odds.[1]

Key Factors to Consider

• USC has dominated through two games, outscoring opponents 208-147 with a point differential of +61.[1] The Trojans showcase balanced scoring with Chad Baker-Mazara and Ezra Ausar each averaging 19.0 points per game, complemented by their ability to push tempo and overwhelm opponents physically.[4] Illinois State has shown competence in the backcourt with Ty'Reek Coleman (13.5 PPG on 53.8% shooting) and Johnny Kinziger (13.0 PPG), but the Redbirds lack the offensive consistency and defensive prowess needed to compete with USC's multi-faceted attack.[4] Brandon Lieb provides rebounding production at 7.5 per game, yet Illinois State allows scoring runs when their offense stalls.[4]
• No previous head-to-head history available between these programs in this dataset. This represents a neutral-site matchup where neither team has established conference or historical advantage.
• No specific injury information is disclosed in the available data for either team entering this matchup.
• The neutral-site venue in Inglewood eliminates traditional home-court advantage, though USC's superior conditioning and offensive rhythm from two dominant home performances may carry forward. The Trojans have been significantly more efficient from three-point range (35% for USC vs 32% for Illinois State) and from free throw distance (69% for USC vs 50% for Illinois State), suggesting better-prepared roster execution.[2]
• USC seeks to maintain their undefeated start and validate their ranking among college basketball's elite programs. Illinois State must prove their opening-game victory was indicative of genuine competence rather than a fortunate result, needing a statement win against a top-tier program to gain credibility.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

USC Trojans will dominate Illinois State through superior depth, pace, and interior strength. The Trojans' multiple scoring options on both ends of the floor create defensive matchup problems that Illinois State, despite organized half-court defense, cannot adequately solve.[4] USC's 19-point scoring advantage per game (104.0 vs 72.0 PPG) combined with their physical dominance will manifest in a convincing victory that covers the spread decisively. Final predicted score: USC 95, Illinois State 72.[4]

Predicted Score: USC Trojans 95, Illinois State Redbirds 72 (Total: 167 points)

Match Analysis: Illinois St Redbirds vs Cornell Big Red – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-09
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: CEFCU Arena, Normal, Illinois

Game Overview

The Illinois State Redbirds host the Cornell Big Red in an early season NCAAB matchup, both teams coming off 0-1 starts. Illinois State lost a close road game to Ohio 72-68, while Cornell dropped a high-scoring game 110-102 at Kent State. Illinois State is slight favorite at home with strong defensive potential, whereas Cornell boasts high offensive efficiency but struggles defensively.

Key Factors to Consider

• Illinois State has shown solid defense but low scoring in their opener, shooting 43.5% from the field with limited three-point efficiency (30.8%), whereas Cornell demonstrated high offensive output, shooting 52.4% overall with 47.5% on threes but gave up 110 points to Kent State, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Both teams average close to 80 points but Illinois State projects around 86.5 points, Cornell around 79 points in this matchup.
• In their last meeting, Illinois State edged Cornell by a close 80-77 scoreline. Historically competitive, the matchup tends toward close scoring with Illinois State holding a slight edge at home.
• No significant injury reports available for either team at this time, so both are expected to compete at full strength.
• Game played at Illinois State's home court CEFCU Arena, which gives them a home advantage. The game is broadcast on ESPN+ with a tip-off at 2:00 PM ET (19:00 UTC). No weather or other external conditions impact the indoor venue.
• Both teams are motivated to salvage their seasons early after 0-1 starts. Illinois State aims to exploit home court and defensive strengths, while Cornell looks to leverage its high-powered offense to overcome defensive lapses.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Illinois State to win with a moderate spread cover

Predicted Score: Illinois State 84 – Cornell 76

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Match Analysis: Ohio Bobcats vs Illinois St Redbirds – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-07
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Convocation Center, Athens

Game Overview

This NCAA Men's basketball game features the Ohio Bobcats hosting the Illinois State Redbirds. Ohio enters with a 0-1 record, while Illinois State is 0-0. Both teams are early into the season and looking to start strong. The Redbirds are slight favorites on the moneyline and spread, reflecting perceived edge despite Ohio playing at home.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ohio Bobcats have lost their only game so far and have struggled against the spread as well. Their recent games have gone over the total points line 100% of the time (1 of 1 games). Illinois State's past shooting efficiency is impressive, ranking among the best in the Missouri Valley Conference with a 48.2% field goal and 37.6% three-point shooting last season. However, no record for this season is yet available.
• Historical head-to-head data between Ohio and Illinois State is limited from current sources, but past results have been competitive and close with slight point differences. No significant recent dominance by either team is evident.
• No significant injury reports available for either team as of now, indicating both squads are likely near full strength.
• The game is at Ohio's home venue, the Convocation Center in Athens, which can provide some home advantage. Public betting heavily favors Ohio on the spread and moneyline at some sportsbooks, but difference in odds suggests some market divergence.
• Ohio is looking to bounce back from an opening loss and establish momentum at home, whereas Illinois State is eager to begin the season on a winning note, potentially giving them high motivation on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Given Ohio's home advantage and public betting lean toward them combined with Illinois State's strong shooting profile, this game is expected to be close and competitive. A slight edge is given to Illinois State on the moneyline, but Ohio could cover the spread playing at home.

Predicted Score: Illinois St 80 – Ohio 78

Match Analysis: Illinois St Redbirds vs Indiana St Sycamores – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-20
• Time: 6:30 PM UTC
• Location: Bob Warn Field, Terre Haute, Indiana (Indiana State home)

Game Overview

This NCAA baseball matchup features the Illinois State Redbirds visiting the Indiana State Sycamores at Bob Warn Field. Illinois State holds a slightly better record this season (27-26) compared to Indiana State (24-30). In a recent encounter on May 15, 2025, Illinois State dominated Indiana State with an 11-4 victory, showcasing strong offensive performances including multiple home runs early in the game. The Redbirds led 9-2 by the third inning and maintained control despite Indiana State's limited rally attempts. This match is part of a continuing series and the Missouri Valley Conference tournament context adds competitive intensity.

Key Factors to Consider

• Illinois State has demonstrated superior offensive power and pitching reliability recently, as evidenced by their strong 11-4 win over Indiana State just days ago. Indiana State struggles with a 24-30 record and has been unable to contain Illinois State's hitters, as seen by multiple home runs allowed early in their recent matchup.
• The recent head-to-head on May 15, 2025, saw Illinois State decisively beating Indiana State 11-4. Historically, the Redbirds have had the edge in the series, especially at this venue, where they have managed to capitalize on Indiana State's pitching struggles.
• No specific injury reports for either team were found in the latest available information. Both teams appear to have full rosters available for this match.
• The game is held at Indiana State's home field, Bob Warn Field, which provides a slight home-field advantage to Indiana State. Weather and other external conditions have not been reported as a significant factor at this time.
• Illinois State enters this game motivated to maintain their upper hand after a recent convincing win. Indiana State, with a lower seed and poorer record, is likely motivated to rebound in front of their home crowd and avoid falling further behind in the Missouri Valley Conference standings.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Illinois State is favored to win again due to their recent dominance, stronger offensive output, and superior pitching performances. While Indiana State will benefit from home advantage and motivation to rebound, Illinois State's consistency and power likely secure them a second victory in this series.

Predicted Score: Illinois State Redbirds 7 – Indiana State Sycamores 4

Match Analysis: Cleveland St Vikings vs Illinois St Redbirds – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-26
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Ocean Center, Daytona Beach, Florida

Game Overview

The Cleveland State Vikings face the Illinois State Redbirds in the Purple CBI Tournament Championship. Illinois State finished 21-14 overall, while Cleveland State stands at 23-12.

Key Factors to Consider

• Illinois State boasts a strong offense, ranked 87th in efficiency, while Cleveland State relies on defense, ranking 16th. Illinois State has Chase Walker, a dominant post player, and Johnny Kinziger, a skilled shooter.
• Illinois State won the last matchup 88-77 in overtime, showcasing their offensive prowess.
• No significant injuries have been reported for either team.
• Fatigue might affect both teams, given the quick turnaround in games. Illinois State’s interior game could be a significant advantage.
• Both teams are highly motivated, competing for the tournament championship.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Illinois State is expected to win due to their strong offense and interior presence.

Predicted Score: Illinois St 74, Cleveland St 71