Match Analysis: Baylor Bears vs Washington Huskies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-10
- Time: 1:30 AM UTC
- Location: Foster Pavilion, Waco, TX
Game Overview
The Baylor Bears host the Washington Huskies in a non-conference NCAAB game. Baylor enters with a 1-0 record while Washington is 2-0. Baylor is favored both on the moneyline and the spread, with the line set around -6.5 points and a total over/under of 155.5 points. This is the first meeting between the teams since 2020 when Baylor won decisively. Washington is coming off two straight wins but has struggled on the road historically, while Baylor has a strong home record, particularly against non-ranked opponents.
Key Factors to Consider
- Baylor averages 76.1 points scored and allows about 69.8 points, showing a balanced offense and defense. Washington scores 71.6 points on average but allows 75.5 points. Baylorβs defense is stronger in limiting opponent shooting percentages. Both teams have solid field goal percentages overall, but Washington allows a higher defensive FG%. Washington is undefeated (2-0) including a recent 84-70 win over Denver; Baylor is 1-0 with a 96-81 win over UT Rio Grande Valley.
- Baylor dominated the last meeting in 2020 with an 86-52 victory over Washington. There are no recent close encounters, indicating Baylorβs historical upper hand.
- No significant injury reports or player absences affecting either team from current data.
- Baylor benefits from a strong home court advantage at Foster Pavilion, where they have won 14 of their last 15 games against non-AP-ranked opponents. Washington historically struggles on the road, having lost 8 of their last 10 away games.
- Baylor seeks to validate their favorite status and maintain home dominance, while Washington aims for a third straight win and opening season momentum. Both teams are motivated by an undefeated start but Baylor has slight edge with home support and historical trends.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Baylor: -258, Washington: 210 | Baylor win | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Baylor: -6.5 at -112, Washington: +6.5 at -108 | Baylor to cover -6.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over: -108 at 155.5, Under: -112 at 155.5 | Under 155.5 points | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Baylor Bears 142% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 155.5 23% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Baylor Bears at 142% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 67.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Baylor Bears are predicted to win a moderately low-scoring game by about 6 to 7 points. The emphasis on defensive strength and historical trends suggest the total score will stay under 155.5.
Predicted Score: Baylor Bears 78 – Washington Huskies 71